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Poll finds Donald Trump trailing Ben Carson for first time nationally

A RealClearPolitics average of polling data from the last five polls shows Carson clearly dominating in the first-voting state with 29 percent compared to Trump’s 20 percent. But if it’s correct and a sign of things to come, the New York Times/CBS News poll may mark a turning point in the race. They are followed by Carly Fiorina (5 percent), Rand Paul (3 percent), Mike Huckabee (2 percent), Bobby Jindal (2 percent), and John Kasich (2 percent). A CBS tracking poll on Sunday showed Trump and Carson tied in Iowa, each holding 27 percent support.

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With Trump’s poll numbers slipping to second place behind Carson in Iowa, he denied that his statement was calculated to attract more evangelicals.

No other candidate comes close to Mr. Carson and Mr. Trump. The durability and consistency of Trump’s standing surprised many, and caused sleepless nights for many Republican insiders.

“In a reversal from earlier this month, he is now ahead of Trump among women”, CBS News’ pollsters noted.

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, right, listens as Ben Carson speaks during the CNN Republican presidential debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library and Museum September 16, 2015, in Simi Valley, California.

“While the leaderboard positions have changed, the “outsider” candidates still dominate this race”.

“He’ll hit back – everybody hits back”, Trump predicted Monday of Carson, who had yet to return fire. In Miami on Friday night, he trotted out his favorite diss line, calling the typically subdued Carson “lower energy than Bush”, whom Trump has repeatedly ribbed for his reserved demeanor.

Support for Carson has quadrupled in the poll since August. “And I love Iowa”, Trump said at a campaign event on Saturday.

The two will meet on the stage at Boulder, Colorado, at the Republican debate on Wednesday.

The poll was conducted via telephone nationally between October. 21 and 25. “There was a time when I was, you know, very volatile”.

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According to a recent study from Pew of likely primary voters, 65% of the Republican rank-and-file now want a candidate who offers “new ideas and a different approach” over “experience and a proven record”, up from 36% in March.

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