The survey also found that Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy, D-Jupiter, would be favored against either Lt. Gov. Carlos Lopez-Cantera or Republican Rep. Ron DeSantis, R-Ponte Vedra Beach, in a general election match-up for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat.
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Republican presidential candidates John Kasich, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul take the stage before the Republican presidential debate at the Milwaukee Theatre, Tuesday, November 10, 2015, in Milwaukee.
Large majorities of potential Republican voters in these three states tend to favor sending USA ground troops to fight ISIS, from 65% in New Hampshire to 75% in Iowa and 79% in SC, suggesting a hawkish electorate. About 1 in 10 Colorado Republicans are undecided in the race. “The losers are going to be Donald Trump and Ben Carson on national security”, Katon Dawson, the former chairman of the SC GOP, told Politico.
Florida Senator Marco Rubio is the only other candidate registering in double-digits from among the crowded GOP field at 11 percent.
A deeper look at the numbers shows that Carson is winning among the voters who self-identified as “very conservative” or evangelical, though Cruz is galvanizing those who align with the Tea Party.
That first segment is where Trump finds his support: 47% of those surveyed said Trump is the candidate best able to bring change to Washington, while 22% said Carson.
More than 40 percent of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, however, offered support for Trump’s immigration policy to deport people who come to the US illegally, according to poll results.
Moreover, the survey results are likely to face scrutiny given the pollster’s mixed reputation in Colorado. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points with a 95 percent level of confidence.
Liberal firebrand Alan Grayson, D-Orlando, a congressman who is fighting Murphy for the Democratic nomination, would lose to either Republican by 4 percentage points, according to the survey. Priorities flip for leaned Democrats – 39 percent call the economy the top issue, while 19 percent say it’s health care, 18 percent terrorism. Cruz holds a 13-point advantage and Trump registered an 11-point edge.
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The latest numbers show Rubio leading Clinton 52 percent to 36 percent, a 16-point margin. Murphy’s lead against DeSantis, though, is within the margin of error.
