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5 mysteries about the latest GOP presidential poll
AUSTIN – A new poll shows GOP front-runner Donald Trump is increasing his lead in the Republican presidential race, even as the business mogul faces increasing criticism over his inflammatory demeanor. In RealClearPolitics’ average of polling, Trump has 30.8 percent support, more than 18 points ahead of Carson, who remains in second with 17.5 percent. Jeb Bush dropped 5 points in the last several weeks to match Carly Fiorina with just 3 percent support.
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Donald Trump has opened up a commanding lead over his Republican rivals in the heated race to emerge as the party’s official standard-bearer in the 2016 run for the White House.
President of CNN Worldwide Jeff Zucker said Donald Trump will not be paid – nor will any other candidate – for appearing in the upcoming GOP debate. Cook suggested that many conservatives “are working through various stages of alienation and anger that is manifesting itself for now in support for Trump and Carson”, a process he likened to the five stages of grief described by psychiatrist Elisabeth Kubler-Ross. Among those citing immigration as a top concern, 55 percent trust Trump the most. Among Republican-leaning voters without a college degree, Trump has 46 percent support.
Not only is Trump the commanding front-runner, but the poll also found that Republican likely voters see Trump as the candidate who could best handle the economy. Thirty-seven percent also say he’s the GOP candidate best able to handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief.
A recent Washington Post-ABC News poll showed that 73 percent of African-Americans have an unfavorable view of Trump. About half say such an effort would be harmful to the economy (47 per cent), while about 3 in 10 say it would help (29 per cent). On foreign policy, Trump inches up to 32%, and among those who call terrorism an extremely important issue, 49% say they trust Trump most on ISIS. The superPAC supporting him, Right to Rise, is doing 98 percent of Bush’s TV ad buying, according to NBC, and that means Bush is getting less advertising for the money than, say, Cruz, whose campaign is buying most of the ads airing on his behalf.
Just 35 percent of those surveyed want to deport the 11 million or so undocumented immigrants in the United States: 63 percent said they oppose such a measure.
“How many believe we’ve got a problem with young women as Republicans?” “Even though he’s better than all these guys… even though he’s going to do more for Israel than anybody else”.
-Additionally we asked voters about an assault weapons ban and only 20% of Trump voters support it to 66% who are opposed.
Of course, broadcast ads aren’t the only ads – for example, digital ad spending could grow by almost 600 percent over the 2012 election, by one estimate, ultimately reaching almost $1 billion (compared to TV’s $4.4 billion).
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The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone November 27 through December 1 among a random national sample of 1,020 adults.