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Trump edges Carson in latest poll

This shows a long and uphill battle for other Republican candidates against Trump.

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Florida Senator Marco Rubio was in fourth place, getting the nod of 12 percent of those surveyed. With lower than 60 days before the leadoff presidential caucuses, Republican candidates traversed Iowa Sat. making an attempt to persuade voters to back them for the presidential nomination. Rubio has gained marginally by 4 points, and that increase is within the margin of sampling errors for the poll since the last poll in October.

Cruz (up 12 points) and Trump (up 9 points) are the greatest beneficiaries of those declines.

Among Republicans, Trump’s trust number was much higher (58 percent) than it was from all people in the survey. Rubio and Carson are tied at 19%, and Trump is at 18%. Third, despite the fact Trump has made a slew of controversial statements of the sort that have quickly sunk candidates in the past, he has maintained and even extended his lead over rivals. Realizing our poll was being done at a point while Carson was falling nationally in the polls… if the Republican primary were held today, Trump would win. “Now you guys are going to get to really see Mr. Trump”, she said. Voters who are more passionate about their candidate are more likely to actually go out and vote for him.

“We will carpet-bomb them into oblivion”, Cruz said.

Data composed by CNN also shows the bombastic real estate mogul is up an impressive nine points over the last month, as his advantage of connecting with GOP voters on issues they deem as most important continues to pay dividends.

An unnamed Israeli official quoted by The Jerusalem Post said that Netanyahu will meet with Trump during his visit as part of Netanyahu’s policy of meeting all major presidential candidates.

Trump also energetically called for Americans to have increased access to guns following the recent mass shooting in California and again cast suspicion on the relatives of those shooters, saying they should face “a big, big price”.

But the most striking aspect of Ryan’s speech is that for all its emphasis on progressives relying on old ideas (they “are stuck in the past”, he said) and conservatives supposedly being more in tune with changing times, his arguments were rooted in the nostrums Washington Republicans have been offering for decades. About half say such an effort would be harmful to the economy (47%), while about 3 in 10 say it would help (29%).

As Trump endures in the polls, I think more and more about the political significance of the child migrant crisis of the summer of 2014. Following GOP campaigns around Iowa in recent weeks, I’ve seen a more complicated picture.

There’s a sharp divide among Republican voters on these questions about deportation between those who back Trump and those who do not. They can’t be vetted as other GOP voters might by asking if they have voted in past primaries. Still, even among Trump’s supporters, most say it wouldn’t be possible to deport all those living in the US illegally (55%).

Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton said she was also concerned, telling Iowans something should be done to strengthen the vetting of visa applicants.

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The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone November 27 through December 1 among a random national sample of 1,020 adults.

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