Donald Trump speaks at rally in Iowa on December 19. “That made a long day even better”. But folks like it. And that is reason to worry.
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Branislav Ivanovic , Pedro and Oscar scored the goals to lift them to 15th, albeit still only four points above the bottom three. Many Premier League observers will suggest that the Foxes will not be able to carry on this form for the rest of the season.
The first-term senator from Texas captured 40 percent in a CBS News/You Gov poll, released on Sunday. The New York Times this month counted 30 times Trump used the word “stupid” to describe someone, concluding that compared to five elected presidents, his language is decidedly “darker, more violent and more prone to insults and aggrandizing”.
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Indeed, that winning mentality is part of the 44-year-old’s nature, and he is unlikely to let his standards slip over the next six months.
Well, according to an interesting experiment conducted by the Morning Consult, Trump’s numbers need more explanation.
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The poll, which was shared with Business Insider, found that in general election match ups, Hillary Clinton would beat the top Republican candidates if Trump were running an independent campaign. Sometimes speed kills – he hasn’t walked back his comment about taking the battle to the Islamic State and seeking to discover “if sand can glow in the dark” – but overall his quickness is a substantial asset.
“The study finds that Trump performs about six percentage points better online [38 percent] than via live telephone interviewing [32 percent]”, writes Dropp, “and that his advantage online is driven by adults with higher levels of education”.
Eight percent of respondents said they did not know which candidate they would support in a Clinton-Trump competition. Another third answered the same questions posed by a live interviewer on the phone, while the final third heard the same questions in an automated phone call. If race once more becomes a salient political issue, the authors warned, the Bradley/Wilder effect could reappear.
In politics, the idea of social desirability bias first gained notoriety in the early ’80s, when longtime Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, one of the most prominent black politicians in the country, ran as a Democrat in the California governor’s race.
While cautioning that it is too soon to make definitive pronouncements based on one poll, Dropp said that the privacy of the voting booth, much like the anonymity of an online poll, may make it easier for reluctant voters to cast a ballot for Trump. “What I don’t want is a situation in which particular points of view that are presented respectfully and reasonably are shut down, and we have seen that sometimes happen”. This nation elects presidents of the United States whose campaigns are big tents that reach out to as many voters, different people, as possible.
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To date, even Trump hasn’t gone that far on the campaign trail, despite notoriously deriding Mexicans, Muslims and of course, his oppenents on both sides.
