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Donald Trump holds wide lead in new national poll
And there is still a lot of potential for movement overall in Iowa, as only 31 percent of voters are “firmly” decided, a contrast from those supporting Trump, in particular. The other benefit of his standing next to Trump, is that in comparison, Cruz comes off as more likable, mature, presidential and electable.
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To qualify for the primetime debate, candidates would either have to place in the top six of the five most recent national polls; in the top five of the five most recent Iowa polls; or in the top five of the five most recent New Hampshire polls, the network said.
More voters, 62 percent, believe Cruz has the right type of experience to be president, while 57 percent believe Trump has the right experience.
The Republican poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points while the Democratic poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie follows with 6%.
A new poll from Quinnipiac shows Donald Trump up 4 percent over his nearest opponent. Rubio has renounced the legislation he co-wrote, but it hasn’t stopped Cruz from accusing him of supporting amnesty. Across the 10 polls released during that time, Trump’s lead over Cruz averages 16 points.
Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has opened up a 21-point lead over his nearest GOP competitor, Sen. Rubio does not draw the levels of support among either the very conservative or evangelicals that Cruz does, but he has moved a few voters from Carson as well, suggesting that he may be fighting with Cruz for the non-Trump portion of voters.
Forty-six percent of Republican voters think that Republicans are most likely to win the election with Trump at the top of the ticket, compared with 50 percent who think the chances would be better with another candidate.
Rubio, meanwhile, may remain the media darling, but this is the third major poll since last week’s debate that shows the Florida senator’s support going down, not up, following similar shifts in the Fox and Quinnipiac surveys. The same poll shows when matched up against Hillary Clinton, Cruz ties Clinton at 44 percent Trump loses 47-40 percent. Trump was up three points from CNN’s last survey in November. This could give Christie a chance to claim a spot as one of the “establishment” candidates heading deeper into the primary season, especially since other candidates for that role such as Jeb Bush and John Kasich clearly seem to be fading into the distance.
He has chairs in all 171 counties of the early voting states.
However, it’s not easy to dismiss the Quinnipiac poll as an outlier just yet.
So much for the idea that the GOP has to nominate someone “electable”.
Clinton could see closer calls against the pair, as well.
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Whether it’s an Overton Window effect, an example of Boyd’s “OODA Loop,” or something else, Ted Cruz is enjoying a surge in both state and national polls.