Though a Tuesday poll from Quinnipiac had significantly different percentages, the surveys all tell more or less the same story: Trump has the lead, and his grasp on front-runner status as we head into 2016 is less fragile than pundits originally thought.
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Cruz increased his standing two points since the last CNN/ORC poll taken late last month, while Dr. Ben Carson and Sen.
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For all the Establishment’s Trump paranoia, they hold almost the same degree of disdain for the populist, anti-Washington rhetoric and record of Cruz, and it’s now Cruz who may pose the greater threat for the nomination.
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A resilient, but wounded, Trump would no doubt pull delegates away from Cruz, whom multiple polls show as the clear second-choice pick of most Trump supporters. “You see candidates go up, then go down”.
A Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday found a tighter race between Trump and Cruz, a finding that clashes with most other recent polling on the national race. Ted Cruz. Trump had 28 percent of Republican support. while Cruz had 24 percent. For those who watched both the undercard and main debate – in other words, committed (or maybe committable?) political junkies – Trump still leads, but only by five points over Cruz, 33/28, and with Rubio the only other candidate in double digits with 13%. Chris Christie got 5 percent, Kentucky Sen.
As Yglesias wrote back in August, if you just look at how much more popular Trump’s positions are than the other Republicans, “the striking thing is that Trump is punching well below his potential weight”.
How insane an outcome would it be if the focus on national security that Republicans themselves wanted ended up either (at best) maximizing the damage Trump does to the GOP or (at worst) helping to stick them with Donald Trump as the nominee?
There’s a very crowded race to replace John Boehner in his heavily Republican Ohio district.
With Trump surging, Republican candidates have begun to bristle in the face of a barrage of media questions about the unlikely frontrunner. Among voters whose biggest concern is having a candidate who’s conservative on the issues, Cruz leads with 33 percent to 26 percent for Trump and 15 percent for Carson. Ted Cruz has closed the gap just six weeks before the Iowa Caucuses open and the chase for nominations truly gets underway.
And while Trump continues to ride high in the polls despite his controversial statements, Christie, who has always been known for his brash, in-your-face personality, has toned down his style and works to show voters he can listen as well as talk. His support among non-college graduates remains the same, at 46 percent. Rand Paul of Kentucky for sixth place with 2 percent.
“Being at 2 percent and falling seems to have totally affected his confidence”, Trump said about Bush on Twitter.
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Quinnipiac polled 508 Republicans for a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points and 462 Democrats for a margin of 4.6 percentage points.
