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Donald Trump Continues to Dominate GOP Field, Sets Record Straight on ‘Schlonged’
But it has worked to lock up Trump’s frontrunner status in Tuesday’s Quinnipiac poll.
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So, as we head into the New Year what we see is a poll where Donald Trump is largely in command in the race for the nomination everywhere except Iowa, where Ted Cruz has a narrow lead over Trump thanks to recent polling showing him in the lead there.
That powerful rhetoric has gotten Bush to 2 percent in the latest CBS poll of Republicans in Iowa.
No one else came close; former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush was third with 7 percent and Christie, who often talks about his experience as a former federal prosecutor after 9/11, was fourth with 6 percent. Cruz has the most momentum, picking up 11 points from his 14 percent standing in early November.
Details of the live-interview survey conducted December 20-22 among 600 likely NH Republican primary voters can be found here.
When asked it they would consider voting for each of the candidates, 83 percent say they would consider voting for Rubio, 81 percent say they would consider voting for Kasich, 80 percent say they would consider voting for Christie, 74% say they would consider voting for Cruz, 50 percent say they would consider voting for Bush, and 37 percent say they would consider voting for Trump. While 63 percent of Republicans say Trump shares their values, that number falls to 37 percent when you poll all voters. Among the respondents, 927 were registered voters. The campaign has released several slickly-produced anti-Trump videos – including one released on Monday that faults Rubio, Cruz and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie for failing to confront Trump.
Seventy-four per cent of Democrats said they would accept Syrian refugees while 82 per cent of Republicans would not, according to the poll. Carson supporters (42/38) join with Trump’s in wanting a Muslim database, but those of Cruz (38/42), Rubio (32/48), and Bush (19/62) are all against it.
The conventional wisdom of political pundits has often been that Trump will eventually fall under the weight of his own bluster and bombast. As for Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, he is pilfering votes from Trump – tied in SC at 27 percent, behind by 8 in New Hampshire and 11 in Florida.
Since announcing in June that he’d seek the Republican nomination for President in 2016, Donald Trump has dominated in both polls and media coverage.
As Yglesias wrote back in August, if you just look at how much more popular Trump’s positions are than the other Republicans, “the striking thing is that Trump is punching well below his potential weight”.
Shortly after the first four presidential nominating contests, the so-called SEC Primary will take place on March 1, featuring primaries in, among other states, Alabama, Georgia, Arkansas, and Tennessee.
More in the party now say Mr. Trump gives them the best chance to win the general election. The sampling error was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
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After the holidays, Bush will spend most of his time campaigning in New Hampshire, the state considered most critical to his chances, along with two campaign stops in Iowa in January, according to a campaign aide.