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Gold Edges Up After 2-Day Drop on Weaker Dollar, Steadier Oil
“We believe the pace of USA rate hikes will decide the fate of gold”, ANZ said in a note.
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However, it has struggled to maintain gains in thin trade, as global stocks extended a rally into a third day and the dollar rose 0.3 percent against the euro.
Prices are up half a percent this week, having risen largely on short covering after last week’s slide which followed the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it was lifting interest rates for the first time in almost a decade. The 18ct hallmarked gold scrap and 22ct hallmarked gold scrap prices also traded down at $777.152 ounce and $949.161 an ounce respectively. Even though prices recovered to US$1,073 as of early Thursday (Dec 24), many analysts are still tipping the yellow metal to fall below US$1,000 next year. The number of initial claims dipped to near 45-year lows, falling to levels last seen in late-1973. Last Wednesday, Fed chair Janet Yellen cited a tightening labor market that is nearing full employment as the primary factor in the Fed’s decision to raise its benchmark Federal Funds Rate. Core PCE prices, the Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation, have fallen below its targeted goal of 2% for every month over the last three years.
“But overall we are expecting no major moves”. There has not been an increase in the Fed’s interest rate since June 2006, before the beginning of the American financial crisis.
Holdings of the fund had hit a seven-year low earlier in the month, as investors positioned themselves for higher interest rates in the United States.
The dollar slipped 0.3 per cent against a basket of leading currencies, down for a fourth session out of five after recent mixed USA data.
“This should see the USA dollar strengthen over the medium term, putting pressure on dollar-denominated (gold) prices”.
“Gold has been stuck in a range for such a long time that no one wants to do anything with it. At the end of the year, most books are going to be closed”, said Afshin Nabavi, head of trading at MKS.
As for other precious metals, Comex silver for March settlement ticked up 1.8 cents or 0.1 percent to $14.305 per ounce.
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Elsewhere in metals trading, copper dipped 0.3 cents, or 0.16%, to $2.121 a pound.