We’ll have additional rain chances late Wednesday and early Thursday, but NYE is trending drier for the region. Training showers and thunderstorms will continue tonight with more heavy rain likely.
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We will need to keep an eye on Monday for another potential for strong to severe storms. Right now the models are suggesting the most unstable air will be over southwest Alabama.
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A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through Monday evening at 7pm for most of the state. Highs should soar to the mid 60s, with some spots reaching the upper 60s – our record for tomorrow is 59, so topping this looks like a sure bet! Flooding will also remain a hot topic as more rain falls on a very saturated ground. In that transition is when the system will carry some decent moisture across the area resulting in a wintry mix of sleet, freezing rain and rain before changing to all snow that night.
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IMPACTS: I think our primary concern with any strong storm will be damaging straight-line wind gusts and hail. Today’s warm front moves back south toward us as a cold front and that will spread additional rain and some thunder into the area. A weaker system with some showers to our south on Wednesday takes us down into the 30s as we end 2015 and start 2016. Showers and drizzle will be possible on Wednesday with highs in the lower 60s.
It will be cold and seasonal for New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day. Variable wind becoming generally north at 4 to 8 miles per hour. We’ve already hit our highs for the day, as the high to our north will drive in cooler (and slightly drier) air from the NE, so afternoon highs may only approach 50 before dropping into the evening hours.
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Tuesday will be cloudy and dry with temperatures colder but still a few degrees above average.
