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Outcome of Taiwan’s Election Could Help Boost Ties With Japan

When pressed for clarification, Kirby said: “One China, one China, one China”.

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She lost a presidential bid in 2012 but has subsequently led the party to regional election victories. It is now nearly a surety that she will become the first female president of the island. The Los Angeles Times reported on January 11 that her detail to policy analysis and reputation as a perfectionist have earned her the nickname “Correction Tsai”.

“All countries must work hard together to maintain peace in the Taiwan Strait”.

Such a warning is not something to be ignored.

Both the Communists and the Nationalists deemed the separation temporary and agreed that Taiwan and the mainland were part of the same entity, but disagreed on which Chinese government was the rightful ruler.

That said, there is a world of difference between firing off words and firing off missiles.

“I hope that Taiwan won’t rely on China too much”.

The race that has attracted the most attention is the contest for Taiwan’s presidency. Minister of International Trade Chrystia Freeland said in a television interview last weekend these two countries are top targets for expanded commerce. About 55 percent of Taiwan’s export orders are made in factories overseas, such as China.

That the US has also sent US Deputy Secretary of State Antony Blinken on a week-long trip to China and three other Asian countries that began on Thursday indicates it has launched a high-level communication initiative to stabilize ties across the Taiwan Strait, the report said. The vast majority of Taiwanese political pundits and observers from overseas fully expect the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Tsai Ing-wen to win comfortably, a position supported by Tsai’s domination of opinion polls for months.

Tsai is a skilled an experienced diplomat and politician who can be expected to try to maintain Taiwan’s integrity while avoiding moves that would unnecessarily goad Beijing.

Not so most Taiwanese, who – until Ma chased Beijing’s skirt – were used to living in one of the world’s most equitable societies.

Taiwanese voters will go to the polls on Saturday to elect the island’s new leader and legislature, however, voter sentiment is weighed down by uncertainties surrounding post-election cross-Strait stability.

However, by this second term, those same citizens seemed to conclude that his government’s efforts to establish deeper ties with China were moving too rapidly and without a nationwide consensus for doing so.

The first was by pro-independence advocate Chen Shui-bian – during his time as president between 2000 and 2008 tensions escalated with China. The NPP and other smaller, so-called “third force” parties, “are marketing themselves (as) representatives of the social movement scene”, said Dafydd Fell, director of the Taiwan Studies Centre at the School for Oriental and African Studies in London, in an email interview. As a result, the party was convincingly beaten in the 2008 election. The DPP shares the conviction of 90 per cent of Taiwan’s people – that they are an independent nation and want to stay that way.

The phenomenon has given rise to the phrase you zuo you du – meaning “both left-wing and pro-independence” – to describe the young. They are part of the normal processes that often take place with the advent of popular rule. Many are concerned about low growth, widening income disparities and disappearing job opportunities, especially for younger Taiwanese. “Over the past four years, I’ve traveled around Taiwan, I’ve seen the suffering of the people and I’ve heard the public’s call for change”, she said in a Friday evening rally in New Taipei.

When will the newly elected president and legislators take office? Likewise, Washington should get rid of its self-imposed restrictions on who in the USA government and military can visit Taiwan. Shots were traded between the two sides as recently as the mid-1970s.

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Taiwan’s fate poses tricky challenges for US policymakers. Since 1949, Taiwan has enjoyed de facto, though not de jure, independence. Taiwan provided an island refuge, the final stop in a series of retreats that ended with a recalcitrant Chiang utilizing martial law to position Taiwan as an entrenched front in the Cold War. Certainly, given Japan’s own intention to become a normal strategic partner with the US and allies in the region, a more regularized relationship with Taipei could provide increased security to Japan itself. It will not happen unless there is sound governance in Taipei and more imaginative policies coming from Washington. And recent developments in Hong Kong, including further restrictions on press freedoms, the disappearance of booksellers who may have been spirited away to the Chinese mainland by secret police, and the lack of any progress on election reform, all clearly indicate to Taiwan the potential peril of any future talks with Beijing on closer political integration.

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