At a Trump campaign rally at a local airport hangar here, the first of three Hawkeye State events for the GOP frontr-unner on Saturday, voters explained why they plan to caucus for the billionaire come Monday night – and why they ultimately decided against Cruz.
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The final Iowa poll from Selzer and Co.
As the Iowa caucuses go down to the wire on the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is in the lead – but there’s room for a surprise. Cruz leads Trump by a whopping 12 percentage points among evangelicals, according to a Quinnipiac poll last week.
Poll after poll shows Trump leading the pack of Republican presidential hopefuls.
With an eye to that aspect of the vote, the poll looks different. The rules were established when Hillary Clinton was 40 or 50 points ahead in the polls. The numbers for Donald Trump are a bit weaker. In the Democratic race, Sanders called the contest against Clinton a likely tossup depending on the turnout. Or your preferred candidate might not get enough support to stay in, and you’re forced to move on to your second choice. The poll was conducted from January 26 to 29 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.
“You want to see it?” O’Malley isn’t expected to reach that threshold in the vast majority of precincts, which means his supporters will be up for grabs – they must either choose another candidate, or their vote will not count.
His campaign has previously said he’d raised nearly $47 million in all of previous year, and this month he has continued to collect contributions at a healthy clip. Backers of each report being about equally excited about voting for their candidates. “It would be nice to see Donald arrive and actually have a discussion about the issues facing this country, actually say something other than insults, say something other than personal attacks, focus on the substantive issues of the day”.
Thousands of people are “feeling the Bern” at rallies for presidential candidate Bernie Sanders around Iowa. On net – subtracting his unfavorables from those who view him favorably – he’s still viewed better than Clinton, but less so than he was a few weeks ago.
“I did sort of like Cruz”.
On the Republican side, there’s a similar dynamic at play. The Iowa Poll, published by The Des Moines Register and Bloomberg, also found Clinton with 45 percent support to Sanders’ 42 percent in the Democratic race. “If there are any problems, we can spot them right away”.
Instead, Carson and Rubio still have a large share of votes that might be Cruz’s, and Trump has shown unexpected patience for campaigning while gaining support from evangelicals hungry for a victory. Trump would still be favored to win in New Hampshire and would likely be favored in SC and Nevada, too.
He said he was confident of taking the New Hampshire primary on February 9, and many others down the road. This attempt at pinpointing voters is critical to getting accurate results. Candidates from Cruz to Bush would be under tremendous pressure to drop out, leaving Rubio and a diminished Trump to slog it out, with the outcome never in doubt.
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This year is the first where Microsoft has said it would partner with both Republican and Democratic caucuses in Iowa.
