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Chances of March Fed rate hike drop after FOMC statement
“The committee is closely monitoring global economic and financial developments and is assessing their implications for the labour market and inflation”, it said.
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The Fed’s decision was approved by a unanimous vote of 10-0.
Prior to the FOMC statement, U.S. stock prices were buoyed by a rebound in crude prices following data showing a jump in weekly demand for oil products and news Russian Federation was discussing a possible output pact with OPEC.
That was a soft back-pedal from December when they said risks were “balanced”, and some economists said it makes an interest-rate hike at the next FOMC meeting in March less likely, while not precluding it. The FOMC left the target for their benchmark rate unchanged at 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent.
Oil futures clung to earlier gains, brushing off the Fed’s more cautious outlook since its December policy meeting when the central bank raised rates for the first time in almost a decade. But a trio of primary inflationary indicators from the BLS and Bureau of Economic Analysis all disappointed and continued to show pricing pressures that are running well shy of the Fed’s long-term 2 percent objective.
The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in the labour market conditions and a return to two per cent inflation, it said in a statement.
US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen attends a press conference in Washington D.C., the United States, Sept 17, 2015.
In the US, the S&P 500 dropped 1.1 percent at the closing on Wednesday after the Fed’s announcement. Much of the optimism stems from solid job growth: USA employers added an average of 284,000 jobs a month in the final quarter of past year.
Wall Street’s top banks, however, expect only three rate increases before the end of the year, according to a Reuters poll released after the Fed’s statement on Wednesday. Bu they continue to expect those effects to be transitory and inflation to drift toward the Fed’s 2% annual target in the medium-term.
The Fed’s preferred price gauge rose 0.4 percent in November from a year earlier.
Spot gold was down 0.6 percent at $1,118.36 an ounce at 1033 GMT.
Global markets had been closely watching the meeting of the Fed’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) for strong indication whether it would raise interest rates in March given the current volatility and low oil prices. It also mentioned that it is expected to remain under 2%, given energy prices’ decline.
The Fed’s critics had warned for years that by keeping rates so low for so long, it was fueling risky bubbles in assets such as stocks. They replaced John Williams from San Francisco, Chicago’s Charles Evans, Richmond’s Jeffrey Lacker and Atlanta’s Dennis Lockhart.
The Fed also is wrestling with the persistent sluggishness of inflation, both a symptom of the broader malaise and an economic problem in its own right.
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St. Louis Fed President James Bullard dissented from this change, saying the new language “is not sufficiently focused on expected future deviations of inflation from the goal”.