Both surveys found that most voters – regardless of how they might choose – had unfavorable impressions of both Clinton and Trump with the GOP candidate generating more negative views than the Democrat. Democrats who backed Bernie Sanders in the primary campaign are three times as likely to say they’re backing Clinton exclusively because they oppose Trump than to say they mostly support Clinton.
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The 3.4 point margin in Clinton’s favor that Silver finds is pretty consistent with the RCP poll average, which has Clinton up by 2.7 points. But this decline among Republicans predates the nomination of Trump, having dropped 8 percentage points since 2008.
Both males and females said they would choose Clinton over Trump by slightly smaller margins, though female voters are the most undecided of any demographic, with 37 percent now in the process of making up their minds.
Those numbers reflect the major party candidates in a four-way race, including the presence of so-called third party candidates such as the Libertarian Party’s Gary Johnson, the former governor of New Mexico, and the Green Party’s Jill Stein.
Seven and a half years of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton’s policies have weakened America’s place in the world and stifled our nation’s economy.
“All right, back to Mike Pence”, Trump said at one point after a long tangent talking about the Republican Party’s efforts to overturn rules that limit church leaders’ political involvement.
As for Clinton and her own convention in Philadelphia that begins a week from Monday, the poll shows that the email controversy has taken a toll on her candidacy. The poll showed that two-thirds or more of Americans do not consider the GOP businessman to be even somewhat civil, honest, likable or qualified for office. Her campaign also seized on Trump’s chaotic process for selecting and announcing his pick, painting him in a web video as “Always divisive”. Republicans appeared sense an opening after a week of FBI Director James Comey’s unflattering portrait of the former Secretary of State and her senior staff as “extremely careless” and inadequate in their management of her government emails.
That explained, to most observers, the reasoning behind recent dips in Clinton’s support.
Another weakness Clinton has heading into her convention is the country’s desire for change.
Some of Trump’s strongest support comes from white voters who have not graduated from college, among whom he led 53% to 24%. Pursuing the law and order message may offer Trump his most viable strategic path to the White House yet.
Over the next two weeks, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton will be making a case to American voters in support of their candidacy at their respective party’s national convention.
She has a slight advantage on handling worldwide trade, 35 percent to 31 percent, but that’s slightly narrowed since she had a 9 percentage point advantage in April.
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A Quinnipiac poll of other battleground states released earlier this week – Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Iowa – showed closer races, with Trump leading or tied with Clinton. She’d been ahead by six points in late June. “This would imply Hillary wasting her moolah; Trump playing it smart”.
