Trump is now more trusted in settling economic issues, dealing with terrorism and managing foreign policy than Hillary Clinton, the poll continues.
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Eighteen percent of all voters didn’t know who they would support if the elections were held today.
While this data comes off the heels of the GOP convention in Cleveland, Trump’s post-nomination bump is bigger than Clinton’s decline, which suggests the real-estate mogul has snagged support from some undecided and third-party voters.
Trump has taken a 0.2 lead for polls from July 11-24, according to a RealClear Politics. average of national polls.
These findings will surprise some observers who thought this was one year when voters were so polarized that a convention “bounce” was unlikely, and will clearly shock Democrats who watched the show in Cleveland and found it repellent.
In fact, polling during the conventions is even less likely to be predictive of the final outcome of the election than polling at both earlier and later times of the year, says Princeton election guru Sam Wang. Trump gets 44 percent to Clinton’s 39 percent; Libertarian Gary Johnson receives 9 percent and Jill Stein of the Green Party gets 3 percent. On July 16, Trump and Clinton were both at 40 percent.
But the surge is notable in the case of Trump, whose convention was disrupted by floor revolts and other controversies including accusations of plagiarism in a speech delivered by his wife and a snub by the nominee’s former rival Ted Cruz. Two weeks ago, that same model gave Clinton a 77 percent chance of winning, to 23 percent for Trump. While 26 per cent hold an unfavourable view of Donald Trump, 72 per cent view him favourably.
National polls don’t have a large enough sample to accurately reflect the state of play in key battlegrounds, and there is little information so far on how Trump’s convention performance has affected the presidential race state-by-state.
“I don’t know how you run for President of the United States if you spend all your time trash talking about the United States”, said Clinton.
“Senator Tim Kaine is everything Donald Trump and Mike Pence are not”, Clinton recently told a crowd of supporters.
Trump increased his overall favorability from 39 percent to 46 percent.
He is now ahead of Clinton by 3 points, 48 percent to 45 percent, according to a CNN/ORC poll. Sixty-nine percent say he is more qualified to be president, but 10 percent say Clinton is more qualified.
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The poll was conducted online in English with about 1,000 likely voters.
