It’s a little hard to make sense of it all, in part because the timing is a little unusual.
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The FBI has concluded that Clinton potentially exposed top secret information to hostile countries when she illegally used a private e-mail server as secretary of State. Trump’s support had fallen to 89 percent.
Still another poll, released Wednesday by Fox News, gave Clinton a 10-point lead. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans now prefer Clinton, while 11% of Democrats support Trump.
In general, it’s not worth overthinking post-convention bounces. But strong conventions can speed up unification of divided parties and usher in a real shift. For Clinton, that perception is greater among young whites, while young people of color are more likely to doubt Trump’s honesty than Clinton’s. These numbers had usually been in the 60s or 70s. As for Clinton, “I find her to be incredibly corrupt”. But, she does think we’ll see candidates visit several times in the next few months. And among those who supported Sanders during the primary season, less than half were prepared to say they’ll support Clinton over Trump in the fall.
In Georgia, the Atlanta Journal Constitution said Clinton leads by 4 points, a state no Democrat has won since Bill Clinton in 1992. Clinton pulls in 41% of the under 30 vote, Johnson polls at 23%, and Stein gets 16% of registered voters under 30.
Clinton surrogates are well liked.
Trump, on the other hand, faces the opposite issue.
But the poll also shows that young people still want a police presence in their communities.
The poll data came from 1,940 adults conducted July 9-30 using GenForward sampling methods based on address with interviews online or by phone. “For numerous youngest voters and new 2016 voters, their perception of the two parties was born during the Barack Obama era, and that perception will help determine their worldview moving forward”.
Frankly, it’s a testament to how much young voters also dislike Clinton that she’s leading Trump among the 18-29 group by “only” 36 points, 53/17.
She has not secured these white working-class voters for herself.
The whopping lead for Clinton is being seen as a result of the recent gaffes made by Trump after the conclusion of two back-to-back conventions last week.
“Trump did not win the Iowa Caucus, as you recall”. But that doesn’t mean that his decline is a nonissue. RIGHT: Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson.
An electoral vote-rich state that 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney lost by just 5 points, the Keystone State is arguably a must-win for Trump due to demographics that are uniquely suited to his appeal. It’s that the same stories making fairly reliable supporters reconsider their allegiances, at least momentarily, are solidifying Clinton’s hold on the 47 or 48 percent or so who support her in the polls.
Perhaps “none of the above” is not such a bad idea, after all.
In contrast, Hillary Clinton was given a 4/11 or 73 percent chance of winning the election by the betting site William Hill even though gamblers appear to be placing more of their money on Trump.
In other words, if the election were held today-ish and the poll is indeed an accurate reflection of the national mood, disaffected supporters of Sen.
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Kaine has a score of +12 points overall and +42 among Democrats.
