“There’s really no change in the disturbance overnight”, said Meteorologist Alek Krautmann of the National Weather Service in New Orleans.
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“Land and upper-level winds over Cuba will make it hard for Invest 99 to organize through the end of the week and the first part of the weekend”, Bridges said.
The disturbance is called an “invest” because it is investigated for potential cyclonic or tropical depression activity.
The BWS has said the storm was not considered a threat at this time. Even when moving over the warm waters around the Bahamas, it is in such rough conditions that it might not be enough for it to strength or organize by the time it come near South Florida. “It’s chances of development have slightly decreased since yesterday”. The U.S. National Hurricane Center says strengthening is forecast during the next two days and Gaston could re-strengthen to a hurricane by Friday night or on Saturday. It’s a much more favorable environment for growth, and NOAA agrees with 60 percent odds of a tropical cyclone in the next five days.
Invest 99 is now an area of low pressure extending from eastern Cuba northward to the central Bahamas.
In South America, a frontal system will continue to produce rain and embedded thunderstorms in northern Argentina, Uruguay, southeast Brazil, Paraguay and southwest Bolivia.
The system, which never managed to organize itself well enough to become Tropical Storm Hermine, has almost fizzled out north of Cuba.
A scheduled Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance flight into the system for Friday had been cancelled.
For the last couple of days, I’ve seen many of my colleagues in the weather business calling any mention of “99L” hype or referring to it as the most hyped tropical disturbance in history.
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Some of the recent forecasts from computer models for a stronger system have finally taken into account the recent and current struggles of the system, and have reflected a weaker storm reaching the Gulf of Mexico early next week.
