House Republicans have had a rough summer.
Advertisement
The poll found Clinton (47 percent) maintains a healthy lead over Trump (40 percent) among registered voters in the key swing state.
Yet it is true that more than the usual number of Republican Party actors and voters are rejecting their own nominee.
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has pulled into an effective tie with Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, erasing a substantial deficit as he consolidated support among his party’s likely voters in recent weeks, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos national tracking poll released on Friday (Sept 2).
The Commission on Presidential Debates on Friday also announced that CBS News correspondent Elaine Quijano will moderate the vice presidential debate between Republican Mike Pence and Democrat Tim Kaine.
Let’s assume Trump wins the 22 states that have gone Republican in each of the past four elections and Clinton wins the 18 states that have gone Democratic in each of the past six.
The Google results show Trump was clearly able to insert Clinton’s health into the political conversation, but it is unclear how that affects the race – or whether it does at all. The same polls show Clinton leading Trump narrowly there.
A Marquette poll in early August showed Clinton with a 15-point lead over Trump in a head-to-head matchup, and a 13-point lead in a four-way race. That means Clinton’s lead has been cut in half since her post-convention bounce when she led by 10 points. “But Trump’s starting point was far lower, and below that of a typical Republican candidate”, CNN said of its poll. The rising percentage of Hispanics, for instance, helps Clinton in Colorado, Arizona, Nevada and Florida. As of the end of August Clinton had 291 field offices to Trump’s 88. Moreover, Mr. Trump loves to use crowds as gauges for voter support. She starts off with 242 electoral votes to 180 for Trump. I’ve never thought there were that many true #NeverTrumpers but have always believed there are plenty of “ew, Trump, really?” right-wing voters who need some convincing to pull the lever for him but are open to doing so. “They may be unhappy with Republican members saying those things, but it’s unlikely they’re going to walk away from them”. These steps were taken only when Clinton was nominated as secretary of state, fact checkers said, adding that other presidents or presidential candidates have taken similar steps. Before Trump delivered a major speech on immigration Wednesday, his campaign telegraphed the he would “pivot” to softer rhetoric, hoping to broaden his base of support. He stressed that 10 of these districts – in places like Minnesota, Michigan and wealthy northern New Jersey suburbs – are places Democrats have some traction because of Trump’s negative approval ratings. Not so with Donald Trump; and so he is torn apart in the media.
In the meantime, Clinton has about $68 million on hand, with 66 days left until the election.
And Trump, of course, could just as easily be the one who stumbles, turning the race into a rout. The NRCC has $64 million, and the DCCC has about $62 million.
But Trump is also a non-starter, Clune said.
The biggest question in November will be turnout.
Advertisement
Hillary Clinton appeared to suggest in comments this week that she would bring the United States to the brink of war over the sort of cyber-attacks perpetrated against her campaign and the Democratic National Committee.
