Friday’s Hurricane Danny 2015 Projected Path has been updated by the National Hurricane Center.
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Tropical Storm Danny continues to gain strength in the Atlantic just shortly after being upgraded.
Tropical Storm Danny is the fourth named weather system in the Atlantic Ocean for the season and was located 1,595 miles east of St Lucia and the other Windward Islands – Dominica, Grenada and St Vincent and the Grenadines- moving at about 12 miles per hour.
“Danny, though a storm at the moment, is a salutary reminder that we must not be complacent”.
The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center indicates that Tropical Storm Danny could become the first hurricane of the 2015 season on Thursday. The lack of moisture limits the growth and intensification potential of the storm.
And there’s an even smaller chance that one of these storms will transform into a major hurricane.
The naturally occurring climate cycle known as El Niño has strengthened, causing several factors that prevent hurricanes from forming, such as increased wind shears, strong winds that travel in a vertical direction and enhanced sinking motion across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean Sea.
The forecasts of all three of those parameters are shown below from three different models: the GFS, HWRF and GFDL. A brief break is expected around noon time before the next round of storms develops for the afternoon. The intrusion of extremely dry air is unanimous among these models, and might prove to be the death of Danny.
But National Hurricane Center forecasters do show some weakening by Monday, knocking Danny back down to a Category 1 storm as it interacts with a little more wind shear near the Lesser Antilles.
It’s too soon to tell where Danny will track next week – or whether it will be a storm at all beyond Sunday.
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The development follows an unusually quiet August, raising the prospect of no named hurricanes this year in Atlantic.
