The latest USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Presidential Election Daybreak Poll now has the GOP standard-bearer leading Clinton by 5 points, garnering the support of 46.7 percent of survey participants compared to Clinton’s 42 percent.
Advertisement
This unusual combination – underperforming but still probably winning Republican states, possibly overperforming in purple states – suggests a true black swan endgame: Not Trump 44, Clinton 43, but Clinton 45, Trump 43 … except that Trump, with his Rust Belt strength, loses a lot of reliable deep-red votes he doesn’t need and turns out just enough nonvoters in a few key swing states to take the Electoral College, 270-268.
Clinton’s campaign acknowledged on Monday it mishandled public concerns about her medical condition and said additional medical details of Clinton, 68, would soon be released.
An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll of registered voters last month showed Clinton ahead among white, college-educated voters in Colorado, where she held a 55-23 percent edge; in North Carolina, where she held a 47-40 percent advantage; and in Virginia, where she held a 43-37 percent edge. The poll marks a tightening from late August when Quinnipiac showed the margin as 51-41 in favor of Clinton.
In the head-to-head race, Clinton leads Trump 48 percent to 43 percent, compared to 51 percent to 41 percent in the August 25 survey. That doesn’t mean that many of them who had either been on the fence all along or jumped onto it after Trump’s fumbling over the summer are now convinced he would make a great, conservative president.
While some might be tempted to dismiss the results because they are so localized, it should be noted that ME is one of only two states that allocates its electoral votes by Congressional District.
The author of a new report that alleges Donald Trump’s businesses overseas have conflicts with America’s interests said Wednesday that the Republican presidential nominee “makes money by aiding the people whose interests don’t coincide with America’s”.
New polls released over the past 24 hours confirm this momentum. On Friday she said at a fundraiser that “half” of Trump’s supporters belonged in a “basket of deplorables” that were “racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic – you name it”. When third-party candidates are factored in, Trump’s advantage remains: 44 percent to 39 percent.
Today, the tide has turned, new KSN polling shows. “I don’t see how people say we have no ground game just because they don’t see something that operates just like they think it should”.
The pollster characterized the shift as a “a complete transformation”.
One such connection comes from a deal in which the GOP nominee attempted to license the Trump name to an organization in Russian Federation. Trump leads by 7 points among suburban men and by 6 points among suburban women. His lead of 4.7 points is also his biggest since July 29th.
Johnson and Stein harm Clinton more than Trump, especially with likely voters aged 18 to 34.
Advertisement
The question is how much the negative views of Clinton’s health will actually affect people’s votes.
