According to the “Republican” poll – conducted by the Atlanta, Georgia-based Trafalgar Group – Trump leads Clinton in SC by a whopping 53-37.6 percent margin. While Portman sailed away with 53 percent of likely voters polled, Strickland has slipped 17 points behind with a mere 36 percent – in a race once thought to be 2016’s marquee Senate contest.
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A Bloomberg poll Wednesday in OH had Trump leading by five points.
The new Bloomberg poll, released Wednesday, has Trump ahead 44 percent to 39 percent among OH likely voters.
Clinton takes half of the female vote, beating Trump, who has 40%. The findings continue what has been a general tightening in the race after Clinton emerged with sizable leads both nationally and in swing states in the weeks following the Democratic National Convention.
And although the wide gap by education among whites that’s emerged in most polling on this contest continues here (Clinton’s support lands below 30 percent among those whites who do not have college degrees, while the race is closer among whites with degrees), Trump does hold an edge among whites with college degrees in both states; he’s up 9 points among that group in OH and 8 points in Florida.
Clinton has 51 offices in Florida and about 500 paid staffers.
These voters younger than 45 are also most apt to say they might change their minds between now and Election Day – about 3 in 10 in each state say they haven’t yet made a firm decision. Her favorability rating there is worse than Trump’s, even among the broader pool of registered voters.
Favourability ratings for the two main presidential candidates are similar (38 per cent have a favourable view of Trump, 39 per cent of Clinton).
Both of the candidates have strong support within their own parties with 92% of Democrats backing Clinton and 90% of Republicans saying they are behind Trump. But Trump is ahead of Clinton with men and has 48% of the male vote to Clinton’s 34%.
The survey in OH was conducted with a random sample of 1,006 adults, including 769 likely voters; in Florida, 1,033 adults were selected randomly for the poll, with 788 of them likely voters.
“These demographic shifts are within the margin of error for these demographic groups, but they suggest that Trump has had a little more success solidifying his base in Nevada than Clinton has”, Murray said.
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Quinnipiac, a week earlier, put Trump ahead by 1 percentage point, and the margin of error again was 3.5 percent.
