Fast forward five weeks.
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Clinton has other advantages in the campaign’s final stage. This presidential race was always going to be close.
“He was asked one more time where was President Obama born and he still wouldn’t say Hawaii. But [there is] nothing to take for granted because, let’s be honest, it’s been a season of surprises”.
“I don’t see how Trump can win this election”, a Democratic strategist told me last week. High-profile members of the Republican Party were criticizing their own nominee.
According to a recent Fox poll, Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton in Georgia by only four percent.
Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is back on the campaign trail this week after falling ill with pneumonia.
In 2012, millennials gave President Barack Obama his biggest numbers by far.
It has become apparent that the bad-news cycle is affecting Clinton’s standing.
The presidential election is effectively the sum of 50 state elections, with each candidate gunning for a majority of 538 electoral votes divided among the states, all but two of which award all their votes to one candidate.
“We expected this to tighten”. Clinton laid out her plan earlier in the campaign.
The other major factor that will decide this election is effective campaign organisation in battleground states across the country, and the number of campaign offices in these states. He has just 1 campaign office in Florida, 2 in Pennsylvania, 16 in OH, 2 of his own offices in Virginia (the other 18 are Republican Party offices), and 1 in North Carolina. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points for results among both registered and likely voters. “People are starting to see that Trump can actually pull this off”.
Clinton targeted Trump in her convention speech in July by criticizing him for trying to “ban a religion” and his mentality that he “alone can fix this”.
A recent Quinnipiac poll found 59 percent of likely voters believe the way Trump talks “appeals to bigotry”.
In a new Morning Consult survey conducted September 15 and September 16, Clinton leads the Republican nominee, 42 percent to 40 percent – within the margin of error – among likely voters, while 8 percent opted for Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and 3 percent chose Green Party candidate Jill Stein. And she isn’t running against Obama, a once-in-a-century political talent; she’s running against an ill-disciplined rookie, Donald Trump.
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Rodham ClintonLibertarian VP candidate: Talk of defecting for Clinton “wishful thinking” Obama to headline Clinton fundraiser Clinton condemns attacks in NJ, NY, Minn.
“Trump has been defined”, said Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster. The average of all polls places her 3.5 percent ahead of Donald Trump.
Tying the voters’ thoughts on the economy to their candidate choices, 53 percent of Clinton voters said they were choosing the Democrat because they thought she would make the economy better.
Trump is in “excellent physical health”, Dr. Harold Bornstein of Lenox Hill Hospital in NY wrote in a letter.
“Donald Trump has talked about every policy issue that there is”, she continued.
The Clinton campaign is pessimistic about both OH and Iowa, which Obama also won twice. The sight of a “weak and feeble woman” – as Queen Elizabeth might have put it – provided the Republicans with a golden opportunity to improve their position in the presidential polls by playing on the misogynistic tendencies of some of the voters. While it’s unlikely that Clinton will win Georgia, the possibility is startling.
“The margin in Texas from the public polls may be different from what we saw a few years ago, but it’s not enough to warrant a change in going after the true battleground states”.
The poll, released Sunday, finds six-in-ten likely voters think Clinton is qualified to be president (61 percent) and has the right temperament to serve (59 percent).
But with the election less than two months away, Clinton enjoys ever less popularity among Democrats. Clinton has invested heavily in its ground organization in both states. When it comes to the Electoral College, the deck is stacked in favor of the Democrats. He’s fared well in important states like Nevada, Arizona, and Colorado.
Hours after Kaine’s appearances here Thursday, Trump punctuated the attention New Hampshire is getting with an evening rally at the middle school in Laconia.
It is not the first time the two candidates have been neck and neck. About one-third of voters (32 percent) said they believe the country is on the right track.
Debate prep: Washington lawyer Robert Barnett, who played Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a liberal icon, will attend events this weekend at two OH universities.
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Eight years later, the conventional wisdom is that Clinton is a much better candidate. For a campaign without much to celebrate in the polls, the new atmosphere at least is a welcome antidote. Dale Bumpers told me. “Hillary’s attitude is, I’m an underdog – until I’m the victor”.
