Trump is viewed unfavourably by 61 per cent of registered voters, and Clinton by 56 per cent.
Advertisement
So Clinton has to stay on offense by showing a command of the issues, being calm, and rebutting Trump’s attacks without getting angry or getting into the mud with Trump. Nevertheless, he faces an opponent which does her homework and had flawless performances in previous debates in the primaries and also as a Senator and as the Secretary of State.
From team Trump you’ll hear how Clinton has debated more times than anyone running for office and is a lifelong politician. Part of that is because she’s been in public service so long and he’s been a businessman.
The US elections are set to get much more attention, for voters and markets.
Polls are shifting: Continuing on the previous point. Clinton has ahead by 16 in this same poll a month ago. Both HuffPost Pollster and RealClearPolitics do a great job with this, though their methodologies somewhat differ.
When Hillary Clinton said that half of Donald Trump’s supporters belonged in a “basket of deplorables”, Republicans thought they just might have found her campaign-crushing-blunder. HuffPost’s average puts her ahead by 4 in a one-on-one matchup with Trump; RCP’s has her up by 2.6. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Mrs Clinton had a shaky performance at a Sept 7 NBC “Commander-in-Chief” forum where she became prickly in response to questions about her handling of classified emails while serving as U.S. secretary of state.
Now, note that in some of these states, there’s been very little new polling in the past few weeks, so these averages may be a bit out of date. And the Tarheel State has in recent years just been electoral college gravy for Democrats’ trying to win the White House. “It’s unbearable and needs to become untolerable”, Clinton said. And the one hitch that’s arisen lately for her there is that there are some polls indicating that ME, which wasn’t previously a swing state, is actually looking kinda close.
Clinton and Trump also saw low favorability in the state.
Clinton and Trump are tied at 41 percent, with Johnson at 11 percent in a three-way race, according to a New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll.
Of course, LaMay says, “the non-substantive stuff is not irrelevant”, as the demeanor of candidates is important to many voters wondering about future relations with other world leaders.
However, the other two traditional swing states – OH and Iowa – now seem to be sliding into Trump’s hands, with the GOP nominee leading the vast majority of recent polls in these states, often by sizable margins. “If she treats me with respect, I will treat her with respect”, Trump said earlier this week. “Iowa, with a voting bloc that is overwhelmingly white, lacks the kind of large minority population that has fueled Hillary Clinton’s lead in some of the large industrial states”.
Advertisement
Even with this result in the mix, Hillary only has a three-point advantage in the RCP average. That does offer both candidates an opportunity in Monday’s debate, but probably more for Trump.
