Let’s take a look at the US election polls. An estimated 200 million United States voters would elect their next president on November 8.
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Clinton’s shrunken lead has given Trump’s campaign a glimmer of hope, one he’s trying to broaden into a breakthrough before time runs out. What do the results of early voting say, and what are the possible predictions of the US election? She does not, for example, enjoy the same support among African-Americans as Obama, the first black US president.
With five days to go until the election and time running out to sway undecided voters, President Barack Obama is stumping for Hillary Clinton on Thursday in the bitterly contested must-win state of Florida. Clinton and her allies, meanwhile, are doing their best to trip up Trump. Black clergy were taking to the pulpits in a “Souls to the Poll” campaign to encourage black voters, after early vote data shows some signs of diminished turnout. If presidential candidates can’t get a lead in early voting, it’s tough for them to take the lead on the final voting day.
Clinton enlisted Obama’s help urging those voters to the polls and lighting a fire under other Democrats, particularly young people, who share some of the wariness about Clinton.
Clinton’s chances of winning are about 67 percent if the vote were held today, according to forecasting site FiveThirtyEight.com. U.S. media says more than 33 million Americans have already voted.
Mr Obama shuttled into Florida on Thursday (Nov 3) for fiery rallies aimed at turning out the Democratic base for Mrs Clinton in a must-win state for Mr Trump, who is under pressure to snatch battleground states and even poach one or two Democratic strongholds if he is to prevail.
Chris Carr, the Republican National Committee’s political director, said Trump is “rapidly closing in states which pundits said were out of reach just a few weeks ago”.
However, according to Quinnipiac, likely voters in Florida don’t like either candidate. OH remains a dead heat and Pennsylvania is now tilting to Clinton. Clinton has a.3-point lead in Nevada and a 2.7-point lead in New Hampshire. A October 29 to October 30 poll of 500 likely voters by a GOP polling firm put Trump just one point behind Clinton.
A pro-Clinton group was spending more than $1 million on MI airwaves along with at least $1 million more in Colorado, a state where Clinton has enjoyed a significant polling advantage for much of the fall.
Tellingly, enthusiasm for Ms Clinton’s candidacy is down from 51 per cent to 47 per cent – prompting fears it could depress turnout on 8 November. However, as the math suggests, it wouldn’t matter if Trump was in Florida or North Carolina and won there unless he also wins somewhere else Republican candidates don’t typically venture in the final week. Clinton has seen a boost in the polls since the Federal Bureau of Investigation announced that nothing suspicious was found in her private email server. Trump campaigned in three Florida cities Wednesday – Miami, Orlando and Pensacola – and will follow up with a stop in Jacksonville on Thursday. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
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As Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Clinton were making last-minute pitches to voters on Wednesday, it was another news-packed day on the campaign trail. Many of those interviewed agree with the Republican nominee’s incendiary assertion that the election could be “rigged”, an unprecedented challenge to the nation’s democratic tradition. At a get-out-the-vote rally in the Philadelphia suburbs, the former model tried to counter the Clinton campaign’s pounding attacks on her husband as setting a poor example for children.
