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Chances for Tropical Cyclone Formation Decreasing; Rough Weather Still Expected
The storm should begin to continue heading northeast and make landfall again early Wednesday.
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Tropical-storm-force winds are still expected through Tuesday night, however, with maximum wind gusts of roughly 55 miles per hour throughout Hatteras and Ocracoke Islands. Rain will expand northward and will cover much of Alabama late tonight and tomorrow as Harvey moves slowly northeast.
Although some parts of New England are going to feel the effects of this storm, New England will not be hit directly.
The rain has already started falling in the Outer Banks, but is expected to intensify.
Meanwhile, a non-tropical area of low pressure off the East Coast of the United States looks like it will stay non-tropical as it pulls away from the coast over the next few days. It’s when the waters of the Atlantic basin tend to be their warmest. Storm totals of 50 inches are not out of the question.
This storm’s rainfall forecast has been quite muddled, as models flip-flopped between “pretty dry” and “very wet” solutions. Some places could get up to 9 inches (230 millimeters) of rain, with heavier precipitation resulting in the possibility of flooding along coastal areas.
PTC 10 is not an incredibly strong storm, so wind damage is not an incredibly high concern.
Gusts may hit 40 miles per hour in the eastern reaches of the Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula this afternoon and evening, and 55 miles per hour gusts are possible for the Eastern Shore and Virginia Beach. Gusty winds may also bring down tree limbs and power lines. Between Monday morning and Wednesday morning, up to nine inches of rain is possible in a swath from the SC border up through the Outer Banks.
Sunday and Labor Day break back into the low and mid-80s, with sun and clouds and small chances for rain. Rough surf may continue to be a problem. Highs return to the low 80s on Wednesday and stay there for the duration of the week.
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We’re going to be checking in with all the cities today to see what steps they’re taking.