The intensity forecast is where the real mystery lies and is especially hard with such a small storm.
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“We are uncertain if Danny will become a major concern”, said Kevin Davis, director of GOHSEP.
Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon.
From there, Danny may have a hard time returning to hurricane status.
NHC computer models now show Danny getting no stronger than a weak Category 1 hurricane with winds of 85 miles per hour on Friday.
But beginning Saturday morning, wind shear is expected to increase from the south and southwest, as the storm is moving through the Leeward islands, he said, which should result in some weakening of the storm. But its path into the Caribbean means it could ultimately fall apart because conditions there are not favorable for development.
Danny is located about 1755 km east of the Windward Islands.
It’s still too early to tell if Danny will threaten the Gulf region or continental U.S.
The storm could reach the Leeward as a Category 1 hurricane by Monday, according CNN meteorologist Dave Hennen.
“Models are showing another tropical storm, but I am not sure we are ready to agree with that yet”, Snell said.
Danny is predicted to strengthen additional over the subsequent few days, however is not anticipated to turn out to be a Class 2 storm.
It is expected to steadily strengthen as it slowly moves west-northwest at about 19 km/h. This storm has a 60 percent chance of forming into a tropical cyclone in the next five days, forecasters say. That is a little later than average for the first hurricane, which typically forms by August 10.
The key is that the storm is still very, very far away. This is the most active period of the six-month hurricane season, he noted, a stretch that will last until late October.
The 2015 Hurricane Season may have kicked off to a slow start, but that’s changing as forecasters find themselves tracking one named storm and three disturbances in the Atlantic.
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Puerto Rico should be feeling Danny by Tuesday morning with winds of 50 miles per hour.
