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Case for interest rate increase has strengthened, says Yellen
The next FOMC meetings are set for September, November and December this year. But she said those options would require more study.
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“Interest rate policy is by far the most flexible, the least intrusive to markets, and has proven capable of targeting low inflation”, he said in a presentation after Yellen spoke.
But under Reis’s proposal, the Fed would also use the reserves rate as a stimulus mechanism, indexing its payments to the inflation rate.
A report early in the day from the Commerce Department showed GDP, or gross domestic product, for the second quarter rose by a revised 1.1 percent, slightly lower than initially forecast.
Total non-farm payroll employment increased by 255,000 in July, far above what experts predicted.
The price of Gold futures witnessed its biggest weekly fall in more than one month, as investors analysed the comments made by Janet Yellen in her speech at the Jackson Hole economic symposium and some other comments made by top Federal Reserve officials concerning the likelihood of an interest rates hike.
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas “will not necessarily have to move in sync with the Fed”, though it is mindful of near-term volatility, Governor Amando Tetangco said in a text message after Yellen’s speech.
“But business investment remains soft and subdued foreign demand and the appreciation of the dollar since mid-2014 continue to restrain exports”, Yellen said.
However, Yellen stressed that the economic outlook remains uncertain and as a effect monetary policy is subject to change. The overall evidence suggests there is strong momentum within the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) to hike at the September meeting.
Some economists have said they think conditions are ripe for the Fed to boost rates next month.
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, center, strolls with Stanley Fischer, right, vice chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and Bill Dudley, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of NY, before her speech to the annual invitation-only conference of central bankers from around the world, at Jackson Lake Lodge in Grand Teton National Park, north of Jackson Hole, Wyo., Friday, Aug 26, 2016.
Mihir Vora, director and chief investment officer, Max Life Insurance, pointed out that Yellen’s statements reiterated the Fed’s belief that the United States economy is on its way to stable growth, low unemployment and moving closer to the inflation target of 2%.
This is a very different prediction than Capital Economics’ prediction just a couple months earlier.
Recent comments from the Fed speakers indicate that the policymakers are preparing the financial markets for a rate hike in the near term, said experts. By the end of next year, she and her colleagues believe their benchmark interest rate – which now floats between 0.25 and 0.5 percent – could realistically be anywhere from 0 percent to 3.25 percent.
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“You can’t take on risk ahead of important events”, like Yellen’s speech, Takashi Ito, a Tokyo-based equity strategist at Nomura Securities, told Bloomberg News.