Before the century ends, the regions can have an average of 118 hot days.
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Vast swathes of the desert regions will become uninhabitable by the end of the century, forcing hundreds of millions to become climate refugees.
The climate study was conducted by the researchers from the Cyprus Institute in Nicosia and the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry.
Temperature during summer is already very hot in the Middle East and North Africa, and will increase over two times faster compared to the average global warming, researchers said. This would mean that the temperatures of the southern Mediterranean achieve even mid-century on especially hot days around 46 degrees Celsius. With the conditions of the environment becoming less tolerable, combined with the rising rate of air pollution through the windblown desert dust, more and more people are expected to migrate, Science News reported.
Climate scientists with the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry expect the coming decades to feature a mass exodus of millions from the Middle East and North Africa as extreme temperatures become more common.
In Lebanon, 92 per net of people said corruption had increased, while across the region government officials, tax officials, and members of parliament were perceived to be the most corrupt groups.
New research shows that temperatures are set to skyrocket in parts of the Middle East and Africa, making human habitation next to impossible. Experts estimate that by the middle of the century, summer temperatures won’t ever go below 30 degrees at night, reaching up to 46 degrees during the day. By the end of the century temperatures at midday could reach 50 degrees, he warned, with heat waves hitting the region 10 times more often than they do now.
During 1986-2005, heat waves in these areas lasted for an average of 16 days.
The first scenario assumes greenhouse gas emissions will begin to wane by 2040, as dictated by the (currently non-binding) climate agreement signed by 175 countries.
“Climate change will worsen the living conditions in the Middle East and North Africa continue to clear”.
And if all this wasn’t bad enough, the researchers also found that desert dust in the atmosphere is increasing over Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Syria.
This is mainly attributable to an increase of sand storms as a result of prolonged droughts.
We still don’t fully understand the social effects climate change will undoubtedly have, but many areas of the world are already hard to cope with, temperature wise.
The second “business as usual” scenario is based on the assumption greenhouse gases will continue to increase without further limitations. The RCP4,5 scenario corresponds to the two-degree target that was decided at the recent UN Climate Change Conferences and consequently global warming is to be limited to less than two degrees Celsius in about. According to this scenario, the mean surface temperature of the Earth will increase by more than four degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial times. In both cases, the strongest rise in temperature is predicted to happen during the summer period. In most other regions of the world, in winter This is primarily due to the desert areas such as the Sahara, as deserts buffering heat very poorly and hot air masses on the surface cannot be cooled by the evaporation of soil water.
Deserts do not buffer heat well, which means the hot and dry surface can not cool by the evaporation of ground water.
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In addition, there will be longer heat waves.
