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Clinton leads Trump by 6 points ahead of debate
Unlike Clinton, who is spending nearly the entire rest of the week preparing for Monday, Trump has a busy campaign schedule this week, with no large blocks of time carved out for debate prep. Aides said his debate sessions planned for this weekend have been moved to Trump Tower in New York City, away from his Bedminster estate and golf course, to help him focus. Trump, Gary Johnson tied among military voters MORE has 8 percent in the state.
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Trump is also favored among independents in the state, 42 to 23 percent.
Another must win state for Trump is North Carolina, where he has less than a 60 per cent chance of winning, according to FiveThirtyEight. Since May, however, views of Clinton (now 37 percent positive, 52 percent negative) have grown slightly more favorable, while views of Trump (28 percent positive, 61 percent negative) have grown slightly less favorable. Johnson garners 6 percent in that matchup.
The 6-point lead, however, reflects a bit of a bounce back for Clinton, after much of the media focus last week was on her comments calling “half” of Trump supporters “deplorables”, as well as the candidate’s pneumonia diagnosis.
Feingold leads Johnson 47-41 among likely voters. Green Party nominee Jill Stein got 1 percent support.
In the Nevada poll, according to Fox News, Trump is exceeding expectations with a variety of demographics-particularly women and independents.
“Whites back Trump by a 31-point margin (58-27 percent), while blacks support Clinton by 82 points (85-3 percent)”, Blanton wrote for Fox News. That poll, also conducted September 18 to September 20 with a 3.5 percent margin of error, surveyed 737 likely voters.
“Trump’s edge over Clinton comes mainly from independents (+20 points) and working-class whites (+26)”, Blanton wrote. The RealClearPolitics average from the state shows Trump ahead by 1.8 points. Following the Democratic National Convention in July, polls showed Clinton’s lead over Trump ballooning to upward of 10 points in early August before returning to tighter margins in recent weeks.
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Several other polls released today sent mixed messages on the state of the race with just 48 days until the election.