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Clinton leads Trump by 7 pts in one poll, trails in another

Another survey, released this week, from USA Today / Suffolk University indicated Hillary Clinton continued to maintain a 7 point lead over Trump, similar to what she experienced after the Democratic National Convention.

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Trump has 40 percent support to Clinton’s 39 percent, Rasmussen said. Clinton’s support has dropped steadily in the weekly tracking poll since August 25, eliminating what had been a eight-point lead for her.

In the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, more than 20 percent of likely voters opted for a choice other than the two major nominees, whether an alternative candidate, “would not vote” or “unsure”.

Among all adults, 56 percent now have an unfavorable view of Clinton, an increase of 6 points in three weeks, compared to 63 percent who have the same view about Trump. But her latest lead represents a stronger level of support than polls showed in recent editions of the poll. Interestingly, voters age 65 and older were much more closely divided, with 47 percent saying they trusted Clinton and 44 percent trusting Trump. Clinton’s lead narrowed from 5.5 percent a week ago. 21 percent declined to pick either of the two leading candidates.

Palacio noted that Colorado Republicans largely oppose Trump, with the state’s delegation mostly supporting U.S. Sen. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 percentage points.

One senior House Democratic strategist familiar with Democratic polling conceded to CNN that while many incumbents and GOP candidates in open seat races are now leading, they believe GOP support is “soft” and polls will shift in the fall when more voters tune into races below the presidential level. Nine percent preferred (9%) Johnson, which means it is six points short of the average of 15 percent needed in a series of five polls to qualify for the string of presidential debates.

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State Libertarian Party Chair Jay North said his party – by far the largest outside of the Republicans and Democrats – has seen an uptick in donations as well as interest in Johnson, a former Republican governor of New Mexico and businessman who captured 1.38 percent of Colorado’s vote in 2012. “But her commanding lead among minority voters gives her a solid advantage no matter how you slice it”. The more the voters get exposed to her lies and corruption, the less inclined they are to believe the argument that she’s the safe and sensible choice against the rogue charlatan Trump. 70 percent of Independents who are supporting Clinton supported someone else in the past six months while 64 percent of Independents who are supporting Trump admitted supporting someone else within the same time frame.

US Electoral 2016