Tim Kaine, D-Va., and Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton waves to delegates during the final day of the Democratic National Convention. Among Democrats dating back to 1984, only Hillary managed to break 40. Some Hawaii supporters even held signs for Stein in the arena as Clinton gave her acceptance speech Thursday night. But we’re getting closer to the point in time in which they will be. In the NBC-Wall Street Journal poll, voters said that was their top concern about the Republican; 65% called him “too volatile”, slightly ahead of the percentage who called him “offensive and intolerant”. She drew 45 percent, Trump had 42 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson received 4 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein was at 2 percent. It’s the beginning of the general election push, the formalization of a party’s candidate and a chance for that candidate to make a pitch to a broad range of voters expected to come to the polls in November. The remaining six percent were split between “probably not”, “definitely not” and “undecided”.
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“The 2016 Republican convention is the first after which a greater percentage of Americans have said they are “less likely” rather than “more likely” to vote for the party’s presidential nominee”, Gallup Poll managing editor Jeffrey Jones said. It’s not the raw numbers in each column that matter, in other words, it’s the number of persuadables.
Overall, more than four in five (82 percent) respondents were in favor of an immigration reform plan that supports a path to citizenship. In a four-way race, it’s … not good, but not fatal. Trump does recognize it. His authoritarian populism (“I am your voice”) is premised on it.
Mr Trump’s “right direction” number held almost steady following the conventions.
For all the hype about Bernie fans revolting in Philly, Hillary’s convention was straight down the line liberalism.
Trump subsequently suggested Khan’s wife was not allowed to speak at the convention. By contrast, scores of Republican officeholders say they are horrified at the prospect of Donald Trump winning the presidency. Among Democrats and independents who lean toward the Democratic Party, 84% now feel the party will be united by November, up from 75% before either convention.
This time around, though, Trump is attacking Clinton’s war instincts. The fact that Silver hilariously made Trump the favorite to win the election last week, should, when Trump inevitably loses, seal his fate as the Dick Morris of this cycle (though, since he’s a liberal, he may get a “pass” due to this supposedly being such a “crazy” election year). It looked like Trump had done that in the weeks after in, when everyone else dropped out.
One more data point from Gallup.
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White college graduates, before: plus-1 for Trump.
