Pollsters caution they shouldn’t be given too much weight because surveys taken around the conventions can be skewed.
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Last week provided a good example of the imprecision of polling at this time.
“We’ve got work to do”.
Despite the omnipresent warnings about how the period overlapping with party conventions is a tricky one for polling, with movement up and down common, Suffolk University polled Pennsylvanians this week to find out their preference in the presidential general election.
Donald Trump complained on Twitter this morning that Hillary Clinton’s convention speech didn’t emphasize “the many problems of our country” to his satisfaction.
After two back-to-back national political conventions stuffed with rhetoric and symbols, few will be tempted to repeat the old line that there isn’t “a dime’s worth of difference” between the Republicans and the Democrats.
At the time, their endorsement included Republican John Kasich, who lost the race for the Republican Party’s nomination to Donald Trump, leaving their other endorsement for Hillary Clinton intact, which has given the USHCC an opportunity to completely get behind her campaign. When asked in the Reuters/Ipsos poll who he will vote for in November, he skipped both Trump and Clinton and opted for “Neither/Other”. Mitt Romney won the rural western Pennsylvania county in 2012.
“What part of America first leads Trump to make Trump dress shirts in Bangladesh not Ashland, Pennsylvania”, said Clinton.
That’s what the Democrats did in Philadelphia last week: A parade of speakers, including the president, showcased Clinton’s history as an advocate for the downtrodden, starting as a young lawyer pushing for disabled children’s right to receive public schooling, and investigating school segregation in the 1970s south.
The campaign also hopes his background in Virginia will give him the political dexterity to be an asset in campaign battlegrounds like Pennsylvania and OH, the two states being visited on this bus tour. The rushing flow of social media and cable news coverage has made it easier for both parties to stay in the conversation during conventions.
That test found eliminating the word “Neither” from the “Neither/Other” response increased Trump support by between 3 to 5 percentage points on any given day leading up to the Republican convention.
Campaign spokesman Nick Merrill said the newly disclosed breach affected a Democratic National Committee data analytics program used by the campaign and other organizations. If a candidate is already doing well, the bump tends to be smaller. “And as Congressman McCarthy said, before he had to get chased out of his speaker race, that the whole point of this was to lower her numbers”.
In 2016, Donald Trump would only create more distance when he came against the Hispanic judge who is presiding over his Trump University case, which also angered many in his party.
“It’s not about whether or not there is a bounce, but what drives the bounce”, he said.
Kaine has been with Clinton every step of the way on this trip, riding on the same bus as her and her husband, former President Bill Clinton.
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President Barack Obama and cybersecurity experts have said Russian Federation was nearly certainly responsible for the DNC hack.
