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Clinton, Trump ‘dead even’ in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania
Mrs. Clinton leads Mr. Trump 43 percent to 42 percent in Quinnipiac’s other two swing states, Florida and Pennsylvania. In Ohio, Mrs. Clinton has a 7-point lead among women while Mr. Trump has a 15-point lead among men. “Pennsylvania voters are divided”, he said. “By wide margins, voters in all three states say Clinton is more intelligent than Trump and by smaller margins, voters in all three states say she has higher moral standards”, Mr.
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The general-election dead heat comes after both Trump and Clinton handily won their respective primary races in Pennsylvania last month. That could partially explain the bump in Trump’s polling numbers. The report said that “72% of Republicans now say they’re comfortable with Trump as their nominee to only 21% who they aren’t”.
Democrat Katie McGinty has sought to tie incumbent Republican Pat Toomey to Trump’s controversial statements in their U.S. Senate race. Brown said. Mr. Kasich has ruled out running as Mr. Trump’s vice presidential candidate.
Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders leads Mr. Trump in the same poll, 43 percent to 41 percent. In one on ones with Trump, Clinton leads 49-27, but Sanders leads 70-14. “In Florida she is up 13 points among women but down 13 points among men”. In the full field Clinton leads 46-24, but Sanders leads 64-18 with voters between 18 and 29.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,042 OH voters with a margin of error of 3 percentage points April 27 to May 8.
Pennsylvania had been heralded as a swing state in some recent presidential election cycles, though state voters have sided with the Democratic nominee in each presidential contest since 1988. Nor do they bode well for Clinton, the likely Democratic nominee, who will have to reach out to the sizable number of Sanders supporters who now comprise a little under half of party’s voters. “And the two candidates are about where their party predecessors were at this point in OH and Florida”, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll, in a memo accompanying the results.
Majorities of voters in the states say Trump would do a better job handling the economy, and in Florida and OH, voters said he would be the best dealing with terrorism.
Independent voters go 40 percent for Mr. Trump and 37 percent for Mrs. Clinton. White voters preferred Trump 52 percent to 33 percent, while nonwhite voters backed Clinton 63 percent to 20 percent. He also would do a better job handling terrorism, voters in Florida and OH say.
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Neither drew an affirmative response when voters were asked if Clinton and Trump care about the needs and problems of people like them. Mrs. Clinton had a negative 34-62 percent favorability, compared to Mr. Trump’s negative 36-57 percent. In Florida he’s viewed favorably by 43% and 41% view him unfavorably, in OH the margin is 45% favorable/40% unfavorable and they love him in Pennsylvania with 50% to 36% favorable/unfavorable. Respondents trusted Clinton’s ability to handle an global crisis far more than Trump.