Trump had 44%, Clinton had 39%, Libertarian Gary Johnson had 10% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein had 3%. Republican nominee Donald Trump is also seen in unfavorable terms by a majority of OH voters, but his 52 percent rating is still five points better than Clinton’s – the exact same margin as the likely vote. Voting for Clinton is the lesser of two evils, 38 percent of her supporters say, while 57 percent say she is the candidate they like. In national polling, his ceiling is close to Mrs Hillary’s floor – he peaks in the low 40s, she peaks close to 50 per cent.
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The problem: While current polls make it easy to envision those outcomes, the above scenarios rely on a number of potentially faulty assumptions – chiefly, that Trump won’t lose a single state Romney won, that he’ll beat Clinton in virtually every state where the race is within the margin of error and that Clinton won’t recover ground in states where she’s slipped. This compares to a 51 – 41 percent Clinton lead in an August 25 survey of likely voters nationwide, by the independent Quinnipiac University….Independent voters tip to Trump 45 – 40 percent. Clinton has just a 2-point edge in a two-way match-up among likely voters.
Though it’s very hard to imagine Texas becoming competitive, a new Emerson College Polling Society survey shows Trump leading Clinton by only 6 percentage points, 42% to 36%.
But that doesn’t mean Clinton shouldn’t be concerned about forthcoming Presidential polls.
The GOP nominee leads Clinton by 8 points among independent voters likely to vote in OH and by 10 points among independent voters in Florida. This is about double the level seen in 2012.
Although most Democrats still express confidence that they will win back the Senate majority in November, they now appear to have fewer paths to victory as wins in OH and even Florida look increasingly remote…
Trump faces continued struggles to gain support among African American voters, though he has an advantage over Clinton among whites.
In Ohio, the GOP nominee has a 5-point lead over Clinton.
Not all is negative for Clinton, though.
“Donald Trump Should Continue to Talk About Tax Reform, Regulatory Reform”, read a release from the group Freedom Works. It also underscores why so many Trump voters view 2016 as their Alamo. The percentage saying neither shares their values spikes to 20% among whites who hold college degrees and 21% among political independents. This year’s electoral college map certainly suggests she can, assuming the Democrat can win Virginia and North Carolina, and hang on to other traditionally blue states. Ninety-two percent of Trump voters and 94 percent of Clinton voters say their choice is set. Marco Rubio blowing out Democratic challenger Patrick Murpjy, 54 percent to 43 percent among likely voters.
The poll was conducted Friday through Monday and could possibly serve be the first indicator of Clinton’s turbulent weekend.
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The poll also found that 71% of respondents believe it’s likely that Clinton, who is 68, will live long enough to serve a full four-year term if elected, while 22% believe it is unlikely. The Ohio poll included 1,006 adults including 769 likely voters. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percent.
