While the numbers for Prime Minister and Conservative Party Leader Stephen Harper improved from 28 per cent last month to 32 per cent this month, they are still the lowest among the four main leaders.
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Tom Mulcair’s NDP is well behind, at 22 per cent of the decided and leaning vote.
“These results may signal a break in the three-way stalemate that has dominated the vast majority of the campaign“, said Mainstreet Research president Quito Maggi.
To be fair to Mulcair, he has been cautious about the whole thing and hasn’t embraced it. In fact, the manifesto and those involved could very well become anti-NDP and spawn a new, hard-left leaning political movement in this country.
Meanwhile, the Conservatives (76 per cent) and the NDP (70 per cent) continue to keep the highest proportion of fully committed voters, followed by the Liberals (55 per cent) and the Greens (48 per cent). “For the people who don’t want to see Harper re-elected, the NDP is pushing those people to the Liberals”.
Some polls show a tight race between the Liberals and Conservatives, while others have a large lead for the Liberals.
The Ontario Progressive Conservatives are significantly more popular right now than the governing Liberals, who find themselves bogged down in a fight with teacher unions and are stickhandling the controversial sale of a provincial power utility. A mixture of landlines and cellphones was surveyed using interactive voice response (IVR) technology.
In Toronto, the Liberals have a comfortable six per cent lead over the Conservatives at 34 per cent and the NDP sits with 21 per cent support in the 416. Only 12 per cent would vote for NDP candidate Wendy Robinson and seven per cent for Green’s Jason Blanch. The poll was done on September 21.
Mainstreet said regional margins of error were plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
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The Conservatives also appear to be stronger in south central Ontario with a three per cent lead over the Liberals, which have about 26 per cent support.
