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Crude oil prices drop more than 1% as weak outlook prevails

US stocks are closing broadly higher as traders were encouraged by a pickup in consumer confidence and rising prices for energy. This is a move that analysts consider a sign that Riyadh will persist with its current oil policy based on the continuation of its oil production at rates that exceed 10 million barrels daily to meet the demands of customers and leave prices to be determined by markets.

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International Monetary Fund, IMF, has projected that crude oil prices may slump to an all-time low of $20 per barrel in 2016, indicating that the prices could drop by between $5 and $15 between now and next year.


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Brent finished up $1.17, or 3.2 per cent, at $37.79 a barrel.


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USA benchmark West Texas Intermediate for delivery in February was up 12 cents at $36.93 and Brent crude for February was trading six cents higher at $36.68.

The yield on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes stood at 2.299 percent in early Asian trade, compared with its U.S. close of 2.307 percent on Tuesday.

Finally, the last item on the Fool’s list of factors weighing down oil prices was the nuclear agreement in Iran, which the publication stated “has the potential to unleash upwards of 1.5 million barrels per day of new production in the near future”.

Jaap Meijer, managing director and head of research at Arqaam Capital in Dubai, said the Saudi budget showed Riyadh was taking steps to weather a prolonged lull in oil prices. Analysts expect this price structure to stay in place, should global markets suffer from slowing demand and a continuing oil surplus while domestic supplies in the United States tighten.

Oversupply issue will be exacerbated further once Iran returns to the global oil market early next year after western-imposed sanctions are lifted.

Brent and WTI remain more than two-thirds below their mid-2014 prices, depressed by abundant United States shale oil supplies and the decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to pump near record volumes of crude to safeguard their market share.

“The ongoing low oil-price environment points furiously towards a rough 2016 for USA producers”, oil analysis firm ClipperData said, with some estimates pointing to a 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) fall in US production in 2016.

Forecasts that an upcoming cold weather in Europe will only be short-lived could also hurt crude prices.

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This article was written by Dmitry Zhdannikov from Reuters and was legally licensed through the NewsCred publisher network.

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