The crowded GOP field is harming Marco Rubio and helping Donald Trump, according to three new polls of likely Republican voters taken in New Hampshire, South Carolina and in Florida.
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Donald Trump is finishing 2015 with an expanding lead in the race for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination: The latest CNN poll has the billionaire 21 points ahead of Texas Senator Ted Cruz-the Trump-lite candidate who has kept competitive by absolutely refusing to challenge the front-runner’s anti-immigrant, anti-refugee, anti-Muslim ranting and raving.
That’s twice as much support as his closest rival, Ted Cruz, who has nevertheless risen two points since the last poll to reach 18% – 21 points behind Trump.
While Trump leads with 27 percent among men (Christie is at 13 percent, Cruz at 12 percent, Kasich at 11, Rubio at 10 percent, and Bush at 5 percentamong men), Rubio leads with 20 percent among women (Kasich is at 16 percent, Trump at 15 percent, and Bush and Christie at 10 percent each among women).
The national media were – still are – talking up Bush after what it rated a strong performance last week’s GOP debate. Those votes are never going to go to Marco Rubio or Jeb Bush.
With that said, Cruz doesn’t have to win to change the game.
More than half of the Republicans (58 percent) say they could be persuaded to another candidate, meaning there could be more shifts before the Iowa caucuses February 1. Thirty-nine percent of those surveyed voiced a positive opinion of “The Donald” while 57 percent have a negative opinion.
The former Secretary of State leads Sen. Non-college voters could prove to be an Achilles heel for Rubio, who holds just 6% support among that group compared with 19% among those who hold degrees.
A new Quinnipiac poll released Tuesday, featuring live phone interviews, found that 50 percent of American voters say they would be embarrassed to have Trump as president.
Trump was up 3 points from CNN’s November survey, while Cruz inched up 2 points.
Cruz has courted evangelicals.
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“He’s 10 years too soon”, Bisson said, noting the 44-year-old Rubio’s relative youth. But in a tape of the NY event, obtained by Politico, Cruz was asked whether fighting same-sex marriage would be a “top-three” priority in a Cruz administration. Typically, that narrative goes, controversies and insensitive statements drag down a campaign-but this year, Trump’s poll numbers haven’t taken a hit after his various “missteps”. He will attend a Christmas Eve service Thursday night at Bethesda-by-the-Sea Episcopal Church near his Mar-A-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Fla. Among all registered voters, 62 percent said he did not share their values while 37 percent said he did. Another is that one of the polls is a statistical anomaly – standard practice in political polling is to present margins of error with 95 percent certainty, meaning there’s a 5 percent chance that the real number in the electorate as a whole is outside each poll’s margin of error.
