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Divided Fed holds interest rates steady but notes improving economy
“Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced”, said the FOMC in their written statement following the meeting. There are almost 4,000 artifacts on display at the Washington, D.C.museum, some dating back to the 18th century.
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The Australian dollar has climbed to a two-week high against the green back, as the US dollar weakened on the US Fed’s decision.
“I would expect to see [a rate increase] this year if we continue on the current course”, she said, referring to if improvements in labor market conditions continue and the economy avoids any major risks. The forewarning of a December rate hike was fueled by the tone of the statement, an accompanying summary of economic projections and a divisive FOMC meeting. It expects the economy to expand just 1.8 per cent this year and by an nearly equally sluggish two per cent in both 2017 and 2018. Inflation has remained below that level for more than three years.
According to the latest economic projections, the Fed expects US gross domestic product to expand by 1.8% this year, down from June’s projection of 2%.
Esther L. George of Kansas City, Loretta J. Mester of Cleveland and Eric Rosengren of Boston all “preferred” to raise the rate at this week’s meeting, the Fed statement said.
The markets had widely expected that the Fed would keep its key lending rates unchanged. So it comes as no surprise then that the FOMC chose to keep interest rates unchanged at their September meeting. Although there is a FOMC meeting scheduled for November, the consensus believes the Fed won’t act then because of the US election, making December the next likely time for a hike.
Forecasts released by the Fed showed 10 of 17 officials expected by December to raise the central bank’s benchmark federal-funds interest rate-an overnight interbank lending rate-by a quarter percentage point to a range between 0.5% and 0.75%. Animal control workers found an ID chip with outdated information, but two local women were determined to reunite the dog with her owners. What investors wanted to know was when the Fed might lift rates. In a statement after the September meeting the Fed said it did decide to wait on an interest rate hike. For 2019, the Fed sees the unemployment rate rising to 4.6%. The pace of future interest rate increases was, on balance, seen to be significantly slower than the collective forecasts that were provided in June.
In the end, though, the Fed wasn’t sufficiently satisfied that hiking rates would help the economy.
Speaking at a news conference after the meeting, Yellen noted that the historically low rates haven’t caused the economy to overheat.
Yellen defended that view by pointing out that despite the robust job growth in recent months, a number of measures in the labor market haven’t improved.
“It’s completely reasonable for there to be dissent and I think group think leads to way more problems than it solves”. US shoppers retreated in August to depress retail sales after four straight monthly gains.
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The core price index for personal consumption expenditure (PCE), the Fed’s preferred indicator for gauging core inflation excluding food and energy, increased 1.6 percent in July from a year ago, still below the central bank’s target of 2 percent. The banking stocks were in green before the decision was announced.