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Dollar falls vs yen after BOJ shifts, Fed seen holding pat
Worth noting, in her press conference Fed chair Janet Yellen noted that the FOMC’s decision did not reflect a lack of confidence in the economy. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index picked up 11 points, or 0.5 percent, to 2,150. In any case, the broad S&P ended just fractionally positive yesterday as well.
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Elsewhere, European and United Kingdom stock markets in mid-morning trade Wednesday, bolstered by rises in financial shares, following the Bank of Japan’s overhaul of its policy and as traders awaited the Federal Reserve’s announcement.
The neutral rate is seen at low levels and the policy is seen as modestly accommodative with little risk of falling behind the curve. Investors are expecting a rate hike this year anyway, but this increase is not expected soon by Wall Street experts.
The technical adjustments to the Bank of Japan’s policies were widely expected, though many analysts had expected an interest rate cut or other more aggressive action. The BoJ is also gearing up to boost inflation and start growth in Japan, and the institution is going to hold the meeting Wednesday.
“The fact that it pledged to keep the current policy until it achieves its 2.0 percent inflation target can be interpreted as expansion of easing policy”, said Yasuhide Yajima, chief economist at NLI Research Institute.
“With underlying inflation set to fall to zero in coming months, we expect the policy rate to eventually fall to minus 0.4 percent”, Marcel Thieliant of Capital Economics said in a commentary. The CEO stated that the firm is sorry that they failed to meet the needs of their clients in this respect.
That lifted energy stocks to the day’s best performance, up 2.1%. Spot gold (XAU=) was up 1.2 percent at $1,330.08 an ounce.
“Couple that with the BOJ lower-for-longer news story from earlier today and the equity market is doing well”, Tuz said.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5 points to 18,134 while the Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 4 points to 5,236. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 climbed 0.7 percent to 5,339.60 and South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.5 percent to 2.034.77.
All three dissenting members voted to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to between 1/2 and 3/4 percent. It’s also about how fast it will continue to act once it resumes its rate increases.
The volatile moves in the government debt markets in Japan and the USA suggest that investors are unsure about whether this new framework would work and how it would affect bond yields in the longer term. Japan’s 10-year sovereign bond briefly hit 0% on Wednesday for the first time since March before falling back in negative territory.
South Korean won, Chinese yuan and Japanese yen notes are seen on USA 100 dollar notes in this picture illustration December 15, 2015. Investors are not quite sure whether the Bank of Japan’s measures will be able to bring about an increase in Japan’s inflation rate.
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The Fed’s next meeting is just a week before the November elections, and most analysts think it wouldn’t want to raise rates so close to when voters go to the polls.