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Donald Trump crushes new poll. But there are reasons for caution

On Wednesday, a CNN/ORC poll found him with his largest lead yet: a 21-point advantage over US Sen. Carson supporters (42/38) join with Trump’s in wanting a Muslim database, but those of Cruz (38/42), Rubio (32/48), and Bush (19/62) are all against it. Among Republicans without college degrees, he captured 46 percent in a recent CNN survey, consistent with a raft of similar research.

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More than half of the Republicans (58 percent) say they could be persuaded to another candidate, meaning there could be more shifts before the Iowa caucuses February 1.

Contrary to the prediction of many pundits, Trump has steadily retained his lead among GOP candidates since July despite he has repeatedly made controversial, or even provocative, statements on the sensitive issues of race, women, and immigration.

Republican frontrunner Donald Trump. He has unified a formerly disparate counter-establishment of right-wing conservatives, shutting out potential competitors like Mike Huckabee and Bobby Jindal, and putting himself in a place to either win a match-up with an “establishment”-centered candidate, or-if those candidates falter-offer himself as the only one who could beat a true insurgency in the form of Trump. He did not have the most endorsements, but what he had was grassroots support”.

Moreover, the report indicated, the higher an individual’s educational attainment, the greater the likelihood that the respondent wouldn’t admit on the telephone to supporting Trump. That could tighten polling results, making it appear as if Trump is slipping.

“I’ve seen this guy a thousand times on Fox”, Bisson said.

“Weak and low energy @JebBush, whose campaign is a disaster, is now doing ads against me”, Trump tweeted Tuesday. The huge strength Cruz is building in Iowa is largely based off of big margins with the same type of voters who will dominate the early March phase of the GOP contest. If Trump’s numbers fall or collapse, the focus will be on these two candidates, whose poll numbers have risen to double digits nationally and in the two leadoff states. His favorables in New Hampshire and other early states, a complete reversal from earlier in the year, suggest he has room to grow. Ted Cruz of Texas is also performing well in New Hampshire, but despite serving in the U.S. Senate since 2012, he’s running as an anti-establishment candidate who was sent to Washington, D.C. on a Tea Party mandate to disrupt the political ecosystem.

“There will be nothing that is more important to me than this night”, Trump said. This being New Hampshire, most hard-to-get voters did not seem completely satisfied.

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Then, at the beginning of December, the pro-ethanol America’s Renewable Future unveiled a three-week, six-figure campaign meant to show Cruz, an opponent of the state’s ethanol interests, as too cozy with the oil lobby.

Donald Trump