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Donald Trump is blowing away the rest of the GOP field
“The important thing about Trump is that if you took the electorate of 2012, Donald Trump would lose”, he said. The Republican establishment and other party players who pale at the prospect of the billionaire winning their nomination?
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The CNN/ORC poll was conducted after the Republican debate hosted by CNN and Facebook in Las Vegas on December 15. Cruz is also assuming that he will inherit Trump’s voters, voters who may or may not show up at the polls and may not transfer their loyalty to him. While Quinnipiac generally has a good reputation in its public opinion research, a general election poll this far out may not be significant or predictive, with most Americans paying relatively little attention to the ongoing political jockeying and the controversy du jour. Cruz, who has emerged as Trump’s most serious challenger, made love, not war. And now, of course, Trump’s biggest fight isn’t with any Republican: It’s with Hillary Clinton.
CNN described the Quinnipiac poll as an outlier, noting it is one of only two live interviewer national polls released since Thanksgiving that found Trump with a lead smaller than 10 points. But now it appears that Quinnipiac may be the outlier.
Currently, the top six candidates, according to poll averages compiled by RealClearPolitics, are real estate mogul Donald Trump; Sen. He’s edging ever closer to a height from which he can see a majority of GOP votes, and thus the nomination. “Jeb is a candidate who is peaking at the right time, I guess is the best way to put it. As we head into the actual voting season I feel very good about our chances”. Polls indicate that after a myriad of controversial statements, including Trump’s proposal that no Muslims be allowed to immigrate into the United States, he has maintained a large lead over his rivals nationwide.
The next contest after Iowa will be New Hampshire.
Iowa, as the article points out, has stuck with its caucus system for deciding who gets the support of the state’s Republicans, just as Colorado has (Iowa’s caucus is on February 1, Colorado’s is a month later).
In 2000 and 2008, John McCain traveled New Hampshire on his “Straight Talk Express” bus and coasted to victory in the state despite being outspent by rivals.
Trump is taking the week to make a rare acknowledgment of higher authority.
Furthermore, Moore stated that even though Trump has alienated women, minorities and the youth vote, Trump will still get the GOP nod because “his side always shows up to vote”. “They like each other too much and they need each other’s voters too much”. That’s actually the second caveat as well – this is a poll of registered voters, not likely voters.
Maybe another question drills down to likely voters in another way. So yes, I do believe that Donald Trump is making overtly fascist appeals.
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We’re not saying that any of this is inevitable. Yet, a PPP poll from last week gave O’Malley 9 percent support, while Bush was at 7.