On a related note, the YouGov/Economist tracking poll actually found Clinton, not Trump, gaining a little after the GOP’s gathering in Cleveland. The CNN reported that the boost for Trump mostly came from independent voters, 46 percent of whom say they now support Trump, while it was only 31 percent before the convention.
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Many top Progressives and their media allies live in a bubble surrounded by friends, neighbors, co-workers, and relatives who agree with them on politics, share their ignorant views on science and economics, and hate the same groups of people.
Among the other projections, FiveThirtyEight believes there is a 0.5 percent chance that no candidate wins the electoral college, which would then force the selection of the next president to the House of Representatives per the Constitution.
“Senator Tim Kaine is everything Donald Trump and Mike Pence are not”, Clinton recently told a crowd of supporters.
The survey’s 4 percent margin of error means the candidates are neck-and-neck.
The keys to keep in mind are that these polls do not reflect voter sentiments after the DNC email leak by WikiLeaks, nor do they reflect anything that has happened at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia. Sixty-nine percent say he is more qualified to be president, but 10 percent say Clinton is more qualified. Only 34 percent of men over 65 said they will vote for Clinton. It’s the first time Trump has passed Clinton in the site’s short-term poll, which uses daily data. They choose Trump over Clinton handily, 48 percent to 38 percent. He’s currently leading Hillary Clinton in some recent polls, and now FiveThirtyEight’s “now-cast” predicts Trump will take battleground states Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Iowa.
Clinton has solidly led Trump in the poll throughout most of the 2016 presidential race. Favourability ratings for Trump’s wife, Melania, climbed from 27 per cent pre-convention to 43 per cent post-convention, despite news that her Monday night speech contained passages lifted from Michelle Obama’s 2008 Democratic convention speech.
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Six percent of women picked women’s issues as the biggest concern of the election and 29 percent picked the economy.
