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Fed rate hike jitters and Clinton concerns hit stocks hard
The Dow also took a hit Friday, tumbling almost 400 points, which was its worst one-day point loss since late June in the first trading day after Britain shocked markets by voting to exit the European Union.
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The markets had been range-bound and waiting for something to happen for the best part of a month.
Many suggest that the Fed has once again created a bubble monster and it seems that Fed members might now also see the danger as they contemplate rate hikes in the face of many weakening economic reports.
Part of the reason for concern may be due to the notion that the Federal Reserve will be raising rates next week, a problem for some given the slowed cadence of USA economic data. The market took that as a strong case to cut and run.
The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index was down 1.8 per cent at 10.17am AEST, with all 12 indexes trading in red following a big $27 billion sell-off on Wall Street. At the close of trading, the index was down 121.40 points or 2.23 percent at a 2-month low of 5,319.
That is more than two months without a big move. Accordingly, with three Fed speakers today, interest rate and FX markets should prove highly sensitive to any potential clues regarding what the Fed will do next Wednesday.
Bloomberg’s implied portability for a rate hike increased to 30 percent for the September FOMC meeting, up from 25 percent calculated at the end of last week.
The reaction was amplified by complete inaction from the European Central Bank earlier in the week. Dr. Paul is the leading spokesman in Washington for limited constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, and a return to sound monetary policies based on commodity-backed currency. Right now U.S. monthly employment is increasing at an average rate of 190,000 new jobs per month.
The last word: So, once again, the Fed rocks USA markets and we look ahead to the upcoming September meeting. She last spoke on June 3 and at that time she said there were benefits to holding off on hiking until the economic data confirmed an rebound and near-term worldwide risks pass.
The rising expectations of a September rate hike had sent the three major United States stock indexes tumbling on Friday in their worst decline since the Brexit vote. There is a great danger that, as the economic situation worsens, there will be an increase in violence and growing restrictions on liberty.
An audit will also likely uncover some very interesting details regarding the Federal Reserve’s dealings with foreign central banks.
Contrary to what the Fed might be doing to boost Obama’s legacy or Hillary Clinton’s campaign, the institution began tightening rates past year over the objections of many progressive economists.
The Fed does not appear to be at this level of awareness just yet, although there have been signs from some Fed officials that a reappraisal of the appropriate level for interest rates could be on its way.
“If interest rates went up say from 0.5 per cent to 1 per cent in the U.S. that could easily trigger a 20 per cent correction in equities”.
“I used to hope that the Fed was independent and the Fed is obviously not independent”, he said.
The CBOE Volatility index, also called Wall Street’s “fear gauge” rose to 17.63 – its highest level since in the aftermath of the Brexit vote in late June. Starboard Value said Perrigo needs to make changes to its business, including boosting profit margins for some of its major businesses, and notes that the company’s stock hasn’t done well since Perrigo rejected an offer from Mylan NV.
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What the market is fretting on is that the argument of Mr Rosengren is gaining momentum and the need to rein in “ebullient” asset markets or face more severe consequences down the road will become paramount.