“This results in a big gulf between how the Democratic candidates and the Republican candidates are seen by their party faithful”, according to the Gallup analysis.
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“If it’s a close election, this is devastating news” for the Republicans, said Donald Green, an expert on election turnout at Columbia University.
Meanwhile, Trump’s national lead over Cruz continues to slump.
Trump leads the polls in the NY state primary on April 19, when 95 Republican delegates are up for grabs.
Regardless of what they do on Election Day though, 16 percent of Trump supporters say they will leave the Republican Party if someone else gets the nomination even though the real estate magnate has the most delegates. A raucous cheer went up from the NY crowd, but the Wyoming win won’t help Sanders make up much ground in the delegate race. The expert panel put together by FiveThirtyEight projected Trump to win seven delegates in the state.
Another 16 percent said they would leave it, and 26 percent said they did not know what they would do with their registration.
A Monmouth University poll released Wednesday showed Trump leading Kasich 52 percent to 25 percent.
But as the convention approaches it’s not clear that any candidate will hit the magic number of 1,237 – the number of delegates needed to lock down the nomination – before the national convention begins.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Ohio Governor John Kasich, polling second to Trump in NY, joined in today with a new ad that rips Cruz.
Kentucky will send 46 delegates to the Republican National Convention in Cleveland in July. When likely voters who are leaning toward a candidate are included, Trump’s tally of support reached 37 percent, compared to 29 percent for Cruz and 28 percent for Kasich.
On Thursday, an Associated Press-Gfk poll suggests that Trump is very unpopular among every listed demographic and political viewpoint, with 63 percent saying they “definitely would not vote for” him, including almost a third of Republicans.
“This is an example of Donald Trump managing, and the type of leadership he will bring to the presidency in November”, Manafort said in an exclusive interview with CNN’s Chris Cuomo. “The people want Donald Trump”.
Republican strategist William O’Reilly said elected GOP officials are in a hard spot. To begin with, the difference is within the margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.
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“We came out about as good as we could ask for”, said Alan Ray, who sits on Cruz’s S.C. leadership committee.
