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Four scenarios for oil producers as they seek to boost prices

Several previous attempts at implementing a freeze have failed, reflecting a schism within OPEC between its biggest member – Saudi Arabia – and Iran, which is increasing production after years of worldwide sanctions.

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According to Bloomberg, Iranian production has risen from around 2.8mn bpd at the end of past year, to 3.5mn bpd in May, not far off the pre-sanctions levels of between 3.7-3.9mn bpd.

By sending such controversial signals, Iran wants to have scope for maneuvers because the agreement does not comply with Tehran’s interests, Charles McConnell, Executive Director Energy and Environment Initiative at Rice University, said.

On Saturday, the Energy minister of Algeria said there was a growing consensus among non-OPEC and OPEC members to stabilize the market and support oil prices.

Following the earlier contract between Iran and Franc over exports of 160 to 200 thousand barrels of crude per day, an oil swap deal is also expected to be inked in near future. Some OPEC officials are arguing that the data show countries are easing off record production levels and are ready to cooperate in a production freeze that could be orchestrated later this month at a conference in Algeria.

But as a candidate for president in 2008, Clinton herself commented on a secret briefing, citing it twice in her criticism of the George W. Industry-compiled data Wednesday from the American Petroleum Institute meanwhile showed that United States of America crude inventories fell 12.1 million barrels last week, helping also to lift oil prices.

Oil prices had increased last week as there was a massive drawdown in the USA crude oil inventories. The question is: can Iran really produce 4 million barrels a day in the next few months?

He said countries now recognize that Iran should be allowed to continue raising production as sanctions have been lifted against the country. A latest report from Reuters reveals that Iran’s oil production growth has come to a standstill in the last few months.

U.S. dollar strength may also temper any gains, as will the sheer size of stock levels that need to be worked down.

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The Gulf monarchies once advocated production cuts to push low prices up, but a flood of new American production has made that approach less relevant. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Raheb Homavandi