The system, which would be named Hermine if it further develops, is nearly 1,400 miles away from South Florida. It’s now moving northwest at 16 miles per hour, with a minimum central baromentric pressure of 29.5 inches. That heavy rain will get to Florida as early as Sunday. He gave the storm a “medium”, or decent, chance of turning into a tropical cyclone by Friday. We still have questions on just how much the system would strengthen. “Until it develops, it will be hard to determine which path it takes”.
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As of late Wednesday afternoon, several rivers in Louisiana remain in flood stage, the Lower Mississippi Valley River Forecast Center said.
No warnings have been issued for anywhere on the eastern seaboard. And some models never develop anything from this tropical wave.
According to the National Hurricane Center, they still do not think a tropical storm or depression has formed quite yet.
Spaghetti models are in good agreement the wave will move northwest toward the Bahamas later this week, and some models even show a the potential system moving into South Florida.
Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating a tropical wave today have not been able to find a closed center of circulation.
“Interests in the northwestern Bahamas and Florida should also monitor the progress of this system”, the NHC said.
The disturbance has been given an 80 percent chance of further development over the next five days. Rain chances will be in the 10-20% range both days. The latest update had the center of Tropical Storm Gaston located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 38.6 West. Gaston is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 miles per hour.
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The storm will weaken over the next “couple of days”, according to the NHC. The storm is expected to strengthen into a hurricane before curving out to sea, and looks highly unlikely to impact the United States directly. The most recent was Tropical Storm Colin in early June this year.
