“While this round of pledges is a step in the right direction, they only take us from a 4 C catastrophe to a 3 C disaster”. “I am confident that these INDCs are not the final word in what countries are ready to do and achieve over time – the journey to a climate-safe future is underway”, she noted, adding that the agreement to be inked in Paris can catalyze that transition.
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– The majority of INDCs are national in scope and a few include immediate action, underlining government recognition of the urgency to raise ambition before as well as after 2020, when the new climate change agreement takes effect.
He praised the series of informal Climate Ministerials that the French Government organised, the last of which will be a PRE COP Meeting in Paris next weekend, literally on the eve of the Valletta EU-AFRICA Summit, as these enabled the political decision makers to track and keep abreast of the unfolding negotiation process in the Bonn talks. However, the report pointed out that temperature levels by century’s end “strongly depend on assumptions on socioeconomic drivers, technology development and action undertaken by Parties beyond the time frames stated in their INDCs”, noting such assumptions are beyond its scope.
The national strategies would restrict a rise in world emissions to the equivalent of 56.7 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide a year by 2030 – four billion less than expected without the extra action – from 49.0 billion in 2010, it said. “Without it, any agreement in Paris will be asking the poor to put out a burning building with a glass of water”. Implementation of the INDCs will only lead to higher and higher emissions till 2030. We need a more than INDCs at Paris. “Equity and fairness matter to people’s lives”, said Lidy Nacpil, coordinator of the Asian Peoples’ Movement on Debt and Development.
The coal-burning Satpura power plant in India’s state of Madhya Pradesh is the largest in the state.
Friday’s report is the most authoritative attempt to sum up the impact of INDCs in slowing man-made global warming, blamed for threatening to bring more heatwaves, downpours, species extinctions, floods and rising sea levels. The guide further supports the LDCs and SIDs to voice arguments that place the onus of responsibility for climate action on more developed nations and their donors.
At the same time, global average per capita emissions are expected to fall in the next 15 years, potentially dropping by 8 percent in 2025 and 9 percent in 2030.
Yet a few countries, such as India and China, have made pledges about future emissions that are uncertain and depend on their levels of economic growth.
When considering unconditional and conditional (with worldwide climate financial support and other forms of worldwide cooperation) INDCs combined, JRC found that global emissions could peak shortly before 2030 at 12 per cent above 2010 level.
The latest United Nations (UN) analysis of the climate pledges of world governments reveals the commitments are not enough to avert “climate catastrophe”, green groups warned on Friday.
Envoys at the talks are debating including a “ratchet” or “ambition” mechanism that means countries would periodically revisit their pledges with a view to increasing their carbon-reduction efforts.
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The report said that climate change rules have already been costly.
