RealClearPolitics’ average polling doesn’t show much change from last week and still has Clinton ahead of Trump, 46.1% to 42%.
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ABC News together with our partners at SSRS survey research firm asked our online opinion panel if they believed Trump would be able to get Mexico to pay for building a wall along the USA southern border. But I do think it’s unfortunate that the voters in this country don’t have a Republican candidate who believes in what I consider mainstream American values and who is proposing such a risky set of policies and who is unfit for president. For the record, net immigration from Mexico is essentially in the negatives at this point, according to the Pew Research Center. Nevertheless, with only 79 percent of Republicans supporting him, according to the latest Fox News poll, it does appear that an unusually high percentage of Republicans can not bring themselves to vote for Trump.
But on all those questions there are significant divisions based on race and ethnicity. “We need to figure out our own stuff”. Each of those groups is closely divided on which candidate would better handle securing the border.
The question of just how many young African-Americans will show up to vote carries profound implications for this election. People can believe Mr. Trump because he says what he thinks, unlike Secretary Clinton whom the vast majority of voters think is untrustworthy.
Since May 4 – when Trump crushed Senator Ted Cruz in the in primary and effectively sealed the Republican nomination – there has been talk of a Trump pivot in which he drops some of his brashness and reactionary rhetoric to convince wavering voters that he is temperamentally up to the task of being president.
Trump says he would build a massive wall, create a deportation task force to expel millions, and deny legal status to anyone now in the country illegally.
The Trump campaign has argued that his support is being underestimated in polls because those being interviewed have been reluctant to admit they plan on casting a ballot for the controversial candidate. He’s arguing that the problems faced by American workers will be magically solved if we throw millions of immigrants out of the country and if he gets a chance to negotiate much tougher trade deals. Young people across racial and ethnic groups favor creating a pathway to citizenship for otherwise law-abiding immigrants who are now living in the country illegally.
Instead, Trump’s appeals have ignited anger and outrage, especially because of the bleak portrait of black life in America – desperately poor and violent – that he presents while speaking before predominantly white audiences.
“I don’t want to make convenient pathways to citizenship for everyone coming across”. Obviously this is an exercise to get to 270 electoral votes and with 29 of those being in Florida, it’s very important. Trump’s stated policies sometimes violate party orthodoxy – he is as likely to promise government action as he is to advocate smaller government, for example – but he’s with the Republican mainstream on cutting taxes for rich people. Young Hispanics are almost evenly divided, with 47 percent in support to 52 percent opposed.
GOP vice presidential nominee and Indiana Gov. Mike Pence said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that the plan begins with building the wall for border security and making “enforcing the laws of this country” a priority, including removing “criminal aliens” and people who’ve overstayed visas.
“Hillary Clinton is applying for a job that begins each day with a Top Secret intelligence briefing, and the notes from her Federal Bureau of Investigation interview reinforce her tremendously bad judgment and dishonesty”, spokesman Jason Miller said in a statement. “I don’t value that as a goal”.
“If we raise it we’re not going to be able to compete with the rest of the world”, he said during a debate in November 2015. I get excited just thinking about it.
“Good for him for being ambitious”, Zaino said.
The poll of 1,958 adults age 18-30 was conducted August 1-14 using a sample drawn from the probability-based GenForward panel, which is created to be representative of the US young adult population.
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The survey was paid for by the Black Youth Project at the University of Chicago, using grants from the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation and the Ford Foundation.
