Trump has made immigration – including his plans to build a border wall and deport people in the country illegally- a central issue of his unconventional presidential bid.
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“I think what you’re going to see is these polls will begin to tighten in the next couple of weeks and by Labor Day or thereafter, I think you’re going to be back to an even race if we continue down this path”, Republican National Committee Chair Reince Priebus said last month. Trump was ahead among white Catholics, 50%-46% but traile significantly and unsurprisingly among Hispanic Catholics, 77%-16%.
The start of full-fledged campaigning opens a pivotal month, culminating in the first presidential debate on September 26 at Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York. This certainly held true for both candidates. Over the last weeks, however, her polling position has eroded steadily.
One poll conducted by the Los Angeles Times gave Trump a three-point lead nationally.
Trump’s OH events have tended to sprout up quickly and not to feature the typical state-level lineup on stage.
Clinton was flying to events in OH and IL on Monday in a light blue-and-white campaign plane with her press corps. A 9-point Clinton in early August had dropped to a 5-point Clinton lead at the month’s end. He weathered the mistakes coming out the convention and has recaptured the essential political high ground of setting the agenda in the 24/7 news cycle.
On Aug. 31, Donald Trump delivered a mind-boggling speech on immigration, striking for its anger, its mendacity, its hostility, its cruelty and its frank bigotry.
It pulls together several polls that all point to genuine difficulties for the Trump campaign with Catholic voters. “This is an issue that he had been rock solid on”, Haynes told ABC News. He has virtually guaranteed that the Republican Party will struggle to attract Latino voters for the next generation.
Forecasting models from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics and Frontloading HQ have Clinton winning 347 electoral votes, which would be slightly better than President Obama’s showing against Republican Mitt Romney in 2012.
“It’s definitely going to have an impact on this race that Donald Trump doesn’t have Kasich people on board”, said Jai Chabria, a former senior adviser to the governor. Battleground state polls suggest he’s in trouble in virtually every region in the country, even in reliably GOP states – Georgia, Indiana, Utah and Arizona among them.
Donald Trump has warned us about those Mexican rapists. However, if illegal immigrants want to reap the benefits of living here, they should be forced to go out and then come back in legally like everyone else.
However, the RCP average is now at about 4 points, though Trump trails by large margins in such key battleground states as OH and Pennsylvania.
So a 13-point race became a 7-point race, but more because of a Clinton decline than a Trump bump. And this is a group, again, that is usually close to tied.
Independents favor Trump to Clinton, 47% to 28%, with 19% voting for Johnson.
The nine Democratic debates showcased Clinton as an experienced debater, although the highlight may have been Bernie Sanders’ curt dismissal of all the attention being paid to Clinton’s “damn emails”. Much is made, of course, about the unprecedented negatives dragging down both candidates.
Salvanto said Clinton’s email scandal, which heated up again this week with the release of the Federal Bureau of Investigation report showing more of her excuses being refuted, contributed to the persistent mistrust voters have toward her. Forty-six percent of likely battleground state voters in the poll said Clinton’s answers were getting less believable over time, compared to seven percent who said more believable. She is still marginally more popular than Trump, but the numbers are a reminder that we are in uncharted waters with his campaign. It might, especially if Trump crosses the acceptability hurdle at the first debate. Two disliked candidates – one known for his combative approach to the media the other so risk averse that she avoids the press entirely – will finally be on the same stage.
It’s been a whirlwind campaign with those loyal to Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton counting down the days until the election on November 8th.
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Yost has been the most publicly outspoken of Ohio’s officials, other than Kasich, on this year’s presidential happenings. “I wish more Republicans would say that as well”. Both major candidates are – what’s the right word?
