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Invest 99 storm chances weaken near Cuba, but the Gulf still uncertain

Forecast trends have been suggesting a possible move into the Gulf, once the system crosses the southern half of Florida.

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The latest computer model run shows that there is also a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and early Sunday evening.

“There is a low to medium chance the system becomes more organized and gradually strengthens into a tropical depression or storm”, AccuWeather meteorologist Ed Vallee said Saturday night.

Forecasters say upper-level winds have hindered the tropical wave’s development, and it could further dissipate once it passes over Cuba. It will increase the chance of rain in Central Florida over the next three days, but is not expected to come to Central Florida. “Make sure your hurricane plan is ready in case you need to put that plan into action”. Environmental conditions were “forecast to become a little more conducive” to development on Monday, said Lixion Avila, a senior hurricane specialist with the center. This trough will continue drifting westward toward Texas overnight into Sunday.

The National Hurricane Center is today [August 27] monitoring an area of low pressure centered about 130 miles southwest of Bermuda which is producing winds of around 35 mph. Do not let your guard down. Good news for us!

In total: Rainfall will be 2-4 inches with locally higher amounts, as high as 5 inches from today through Tuesday.

Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance.

Saturday will be partly to mostly cloudy with light winds out of the ENE.

The important thing is that we put everything in a proper context. We will be tracking these systems for you.

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Stay safe and here’s hoping that the GFS and Euro are both right with not much becoming of “99L”.

Thank you Carlo Trevizo